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andrew.berg
6 maj 2014 09:39

EURUSD It is Ok to change your Mind 

Euro Fx/U.S. DollarFXCM

Beskrivning

On Daily chart it is is in uptrend since July 2013. After big, ignited, red candle on 20th of March it entered into range-bound market and bounced up well off major trend line. Till now it built series of lower high and higher lows (wedge) and gave opportunities to trade both sides (selling from wedge highs and buying support).

On Friday when US job report was released it accelerated to downside with quick reversal. I mentioned in comments:
"Reagined some levels of support and building nice upper-level base in front of resistance. We can see break up of those highs and expect some upside follow through then.
Entry point: 1.38800
Stop: 1.38680 then 1.38634"

Now, i will measure this move with fibonacci levels (the higher it will hold the higher is probability that it will continue higher) and moving averages.

It is impoprtant to make adjustments and to know key levels. Trade price action not opinion.
Kommentarer
jago25_98
hmm... volume is trending down, makes me think worth watching. Also pinning as well. So... will place a high sell expecting it to pin wildly up before coming back down if it does, medium stop but small lot size as it's a small TF to be betting on. TP 1.39045.
andrew.berg
Holds well near highs, building an upper-level base means that buyers are still in control. i am holding my longs and will make some adjustments if price will break below consolidation support at $1.39224, next support at $1.39123
andrew.berg
broke up and never triggered short entry. I am trailing my stop
jago25_98
This spike on 15m TF I wold have expected to returned back down by now. It's a very messy flag so still favor the down but not enough for a trade.
andrew.berg
After such a big move we can expect some consolidation or pullback. If you want to trade it with short wait for some confirmation with well-defined and tight stop cuz it looks strong at the moment
Mer