sisyfos

An Elliot wave theory based analysis of OMXS30 in August- 2019

OMXSTO:OMXS30   OMX Stockholm 30 Index
Last time I thought that we had started wave 3 in the 5 waves that should take us to the Super Cycle top 3.
But as I said then it all depended on whether the support at 1594 would hold. Unfortumatly it did not, and then we had to make a new count.

So instead we had to move the top of wave 1 and count the wave 2 as a 535 correction wave depicted as a ABC wave.

As you can see the fibbonaci retactment levels are almost ideal and I suspect that we will hit 1550-ish (i.e fib 61,8) in the begining of next week to complete the fifth wave in the 535 corection wave.

There is of course a risk that we will go even lower as the folowing is true for wave C according to elliot wave theory • Wave C = 61.8%, 100%, or 123.6% of wave A. and with all the worry with trade wars and Brexit I hold it as most likely.
However since there are no quarantees the fifth wave may be complete and we might start the 3 wave already in the begining of next week but I hold that as less likely.

As I said last time my analysis is heavily influenced by this guy: http://roasan-bullbear.blogspot.com/2019... So for more background to my idea watch his videos.

Plkease comment if you have any imput so that I can improve.
Handel aktiv: Well there was no problem reaching fib 61,8 % of wave A today.
So lets see if we can make it 100 % tomorrow.

There is a risk that we might even reach 123% of wave A or even 161,8 which is still possible
without violating the rule that wave 2 must not retrace more than 100% of wave 1.
because Wave A was 82 points and wave B ended at 1627.
1627- (82*1,618) = 1495.
Handel aktiv: Well we did reach fib 78,6% in wave C.
I belive that this was as far as it will go and that we have reached bottom.

We have so far finsihed the two first of the 5 waves that should lead us to Super Cycle top 3 .
Now wave 3 is typically 161,8 % of wave A so that is the taget now....
provided that we have, as i belive, reached bottom 0today .
Handel aktiv: Changed the labeling on the graph and and posted it as a new idea...
you'll find the link below in similar ideas.

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