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imkeshav
18 dec 2018 15:38

$BTC - The last leg down to 3k Kort

Bitcoin / U. S. DollarKraken

Beskrivning

This EW count shows that we need to see one more last (v) sub-wave of the last 5th wave down (green).

The (iv) sub-wave appears to be done as it is facing resistance from the 100 EMA on 4 Hour chart. Technically, it can go further up but not beyond the red-zone as the 4th wave can't go beyond 1st wave bottom. However (ii) wave went deeper to almost 0.618 Fib so wave (iv) will be shallow and right now its at 0.382 Fib, so I'm assuming wave (iv) could be done

This chart has the same bottom target as our previous chart (Nov29 post) at $3000 which should offer decent support, (but I won't rule out a quick spike down)
tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/dE8Gr1DM-BTC-Are-we-closer-to-the-end/\

This chart becomes invalid if price goes and stays above the red zone and we will need to relook at the count.

Take Care. Stay Safe.

Kommentera

Here is an alternate scenario which could be in play that I posted in Twitter yesterday

Kommentera

Irrespective of whether this was A wave or if this was just a wave 1 of a new impulse 1-5 wave structure, the 5 waves appear to be done with 5th wave extended.

So there should be abc correction after 5 waves, and since 5th wave is extended the correction go upto the 4th wave (green) bottom where there is also support from 0.618 Fib

For now, the assumption is this is a "b" wave of the 4th wave (orange) of the previous posted chart

Kommentarer
dave83
hey keshav, as you know i am on the same wave count as you but i dont think the 4th wave is done already (especially when i look @ the structure of the waves).
I dont see a clear abc in it, it looks more like an impulsive 5 wave which can become the a wave of the correction.

I agree with you that the 1-2 was deep but the 3rd wave was extended untill the 2.618 so i would expect a bigger retracement for the 4th... (check my latest trading idea on how i charted it).

But keep up the good work it is always nice to see other ew traders @ work
imkeshav
@dave83, Hey man. Thanks for the heads up

I did consider your scenario and posted an alternative count in my twitter yesterday before publishing here and I think your chart was the influence

twitter.com/imkeshav/status/1074981586158768129

Also can you point where wave iii was extended to 2.618 fib?
dave83
@imkeshav, ofcourse...
dave83
@dave83, the blue wave 3 of 5
imkeshav
@dave83, taking it from the top of the wick, wave iii falls short of 2.618

dave83
@imkeshav, yes i know but wicks dont count......
imkeshav
@dave83, ok got it. Thanks
Mer