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The_Chart_Master
3 feb 2023 11:29

XRP macro trend to $0.15 or $0.07? 

XRP / U.S. dollarBitstamp

Beskrivning

Know that I'm wrong most of the time. At least in the short term. But counting waves from the 2018 top this is what I came up with.
Maybe the current lawsuit can give XRP a total other path (up or down) But when looking only at the chart and wave patterns, this is what I see.

Kommentera

Possible flat for wave 4 now completed. If XRP drops from here (0.58c) this idea might still be valid and we're looking for lower prices.
Kommentarer
XRP-Jonny
The C leg has no bottom...

This scenario is not happening. Count the elliot wave retraces.
The_Chart_Master
@XRP-Jonny, not sure what you mean with "The C leg has no bottom". If the yellow count is going to hit, the whole correction from January 2018 til then is just a giant wave 4. And a bullish one if it doesn't make a new low. If the red one plays out and stays above 0.062 cents it's still bullish. Note that this is a macro count.
XRP-Jonny
@The_Chart_Master, The C leg can go anywhere it wants.... could stop now, could go to $0.07...

i initially thought $0.17, but looked at the market as an entire whole....

Try looking at 2020 as WAVE 2 in a macro sense.

You think the bottom of 2022 is sitting on the 1.618FIB of the 17 crash?
The_Chart_Master
@XRP-Jonny, I get what you say, however, the uptrend from March 2020 does imo not contain 5 waves, and seems more like an ABC. XRP loves extended 5th waves.

XRP-Jonny
@The_Chart_Master, 2021 was a ZigZag correction. The bottom is in for 2022.
tradingview.com/education/zigzag/

The_Chart_Master
@XRP-Jonny, it could be a zig-zag correction but that doesn't magically make the pump from 2020 a wave 1 imo. Had it a clear 5 waves, I would be totally happy with a wave 2 being a zig-zag...
XRP-Jonny
@The_Chart_Master, lets see what happens.
IMO, FUD has done its job. I wanted to sell and pick up on the $0.17... but realling smelling a $1.11 and $0.43 retrace and gets out of here.

IF XRP hit the 0.786FIB, wave 3 is about to load to the $589 target.

Thanks for the idea.
XRP-Jonny
@The_Chart_Master,
i prefer the wire view for EW...
The_Chart_Master
@XRP-Jonny, well another EW rule: wave 3 is most of the time the longest, but never the shortest. In this example, wave 3 is clearly the shortest. It's just not a solid uptrend. The more reason I go with an ABC correction instead of an uptrend.
XRP-Jonny
Mer