Jag har varit avaktande dem senaste månaderna och exprimenterat en del med volymdata i sambad med COT från Quandl Data som resterande hedgefonder använder.
Om vi kikar på volymdata med våran Volym profil indikator Viper som den kallas sker här en intressant strategi i mitt huvud där man handlar mellan LVN och HVN Låg volym Node samt Hög volym node. Volymen visar...
Det ser ut som att vi har nåt sekundärtrends våg 1 topp.
Härifrån kan man då förvänta sig en ABC korrigering. ner till sekundärtrends våg 2's botten.
En våg 2 har ofta egenskapen att den är minst fib 50 av våg 1 men ofta 61,8 och ibland också 85,4.
Så här i sekundärtrender så är de tydligen ofta grundare än i primärtrenden så fib 50 är ett rimligt mål.
In this second alternative we explore the possiblity that we have reached the bottom of wave 2 of the secondary trend.
If that is the case than we shall now have started our third wave of the 5 waves in our secondary trend. when we have concluded the fith wave in our secondary trend that will conclude the fith wave of our primary bull trend.
It is a bit early...
Either we are still looking for the bottom of the second wave in the secondary trend and then we would expect the following scenario.
We still have not reached FIB 123,6 and we still have not reached stochastic of 20 on weekly basis so this scenario is still probable.
The fact that I have drawn the ending C wave as a 5 wave correction is not necessary it might...
After some futher studies I have updated my graph with better numbering and other minor improvments but here is what I think will happened in near future.
Looks like we have a turn around formation brewing.
If we have counted this one correct we have started on the 3'd wave of the secondary trend which will after its fifth wave conclude the 3'd wave of the...
Last time I thought that we had started wave 3 in the 5 waves that should take us to the Super Cycle top 3.
But as I said then it all depended on whether the support at 1594 would hold. Unfortumatly it did not, and then we had to make a new count.
So instead we had to move the top of wave 1 and count the wave 2 as a 535 correction wave depicted as a ABC wave.
I am trying to analyse the OMX index based on the elliot wave theory.
I am inspired by this guy roasan-bullbear.blogspot.com (in swedish)
So for a more detailed view of my analysis one should really look at roasan-bullbear.blogspot.com since my interpretation is heavlily influenced by his analysis.