BTC analytics. What to expect from BTC?

Hey!
From my previous succeed trading ideas changes everything.
We did not hit target (50 point left to reach a target)
And then price fallback from 28k to 34k.

So, in previous I wish trade on facts, but now my trading ideas are based on wishes...

So, we hits 4 times 200SMA - that brutal downtrend alert.
However, all the time, when price hots that price level, we have quick price recover. Looks like Whales doesnt want price fall at this time.
But maybe price falling in deep in next time?

In 1H timeframe, we have uptrend. BUT

• Price updates local hight -> which looks like uptrend continue
  
• Price moving close to Alligator -> which looks like buyers have not enough power to continue uptrend
  

So, facts are hides from me.

In 5mins timeframe - alligator sleeps. Price can move everywhere..



As for me - I am in short from 34190
SL 34711

Trade on wishes, not on facts
Crossing 200SMA it downtrend signal for me.

Handel aktiv:

Short from 34190
SL 34711

Handel aktiv:

Moved Short from 35500