MARKETS week ahead: August 12 – 18
Last week in the news
Previous week markets used to digest US economic data, and realized that there is still no need for fear of recession. Markets were traded with a positive sentiment covering some losses which were brought two weeks ago and on Monday, after posted US jobs data which were weaker than expected. The US Dollar continued to weaken, supporting the price of gold to finish the week for one more time above the 2.4K currently strong support line. The S&P 500 managed to gain above 4% on a weekly level, however, it should be considered that previously, the index lost some 10% from its recent peak level. The US Treasury yields were traded higher, returning to the 4.0% level. The crypto market also gained during the week, with BTC reaching again the 60K resistance line.
Start of the week brought sort of a relief on financial markets after the US ISM Services PMI was posted. The indicator was standing at the level of 51.4 in July, higher from market estimate of 51 and Jun`s figure of 49.6. The ISM Services Business Activity was 54.5 and ISM Services Employment was standing at 51.1. The indicator shows that the US services sector is in relatively good shape, in which sense, there is still no recession developing in the US. In addition, weekly jobless figures were posted for the first week of August, where initial jobless claims reached 233K, only a bit down from 240K forecast. It did not take long for the markets to enter into the correction mode and switch sentiment from negative to positive. The panic from Friday`s jobless figures was over. Regardless of these developments, the market still anticipates with high probability that the Fed`s pivoting moment will occur in September.
JPMorgan has officially launched the LLM Suite project, a generative AI assistant program, which helps employees in writing emails and reports. The program was developed in cooperation with OpenAI, a maker of ChatGPT. For more than a year JPMorgan banned ChatGPT to be used by their employees, providing them now an alternative, which would be more secure for data protection of the Bank.
Elly Lilly was the company which occupied a lot of news space during the previous week, as its shares rose more than 11% for the week. The surge occurred after the company posted Q2 results and expectations that the full year revenues will be higher by $3 billion from initially estimated, due to a boost in sales of its two drugs for weight loss and diabetes.
The US Internal Revenue Service has released a new tax form for crypto brokers, which will be in effect from the year 2025. The form 1099-D will be distributed to clients of crypto brokerage firms, and it is expected to introduce more clarity and transparency when it comes to tax filings on crypto transactions.
Crypto market cap
It was indeed a stressful week on the crypto market, as well as on almost all financial markets. The fear over potential US recession and Fed`s forced cut of interest rates was so strong that almost all markets had a strong push to the downside. Still, the posted ISM data showed that the state of the US economy is not in a bad shape, which turned back investors optimism and a rebound of the value of financial assets. However, it should not be overseen that something did change. Analysts are pointing that the significant drop in the Yen carry trade is still not over and that currently some significant amount of positions is still open. A further increase of interest rates by the Bank of Japan might trigger similar developments in the future period. Still, despite a highly volatile week, total crypto market capitalization managed to stay relatively flat compared to the end of the week before. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 1% on a weekly basis, losing around $ 29B in value. At the same time daily trading volumes modestly decreased during the week to the level of 107B on a daily basis, as of the weekend, from 170B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at 439B, which represents a 27% surge from the beginning of this year.
The crypto market was traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. There were altcoins with significant gains on a weekly level, however, there were the ones which finished the week with a loss. Regardless of significant fluctuations in price during the week, BTC gained 0.9% on a weekly level, adding 10.6B to its market cap. On the other side, ETH made a significant drop of 9.2% w/w, losing almost $ 32B in value. XRP had a very good week, where the coin managed to increase its value by $8.9% adding 2.7B to its market cap. ZCash was traded on a positive side and increased its value by 27% w/w. Solana continues to be currently one of markets favorite coins, which increased its cap by 10% w/w or by 6.6B. Interestingly, one of the highest weekly losers was Maker, who decreased its value by almost 15% on a weekly level. There is still no official information what was the cause of such a significant drop for this coin.
There has been increased activity with coins in circulation. Tether increased the number of coins on the market by 1.0% w/w, increasing by this percentage its total market cap. XRP, Solana, Polkadot, Polygon and Filecoin increased their number of coins by 0.2% each. Thai week Miota was active and increased its circulating coins by 0.6% w/w.
Crypto futures market
Considering extremely high volatility, the crypto futures market was trying to catch up with the spot market, however, finishing the week at the lower levels from the spot market. BTC short term futures ended the week around 3% lower from the week before. December 2024 was last traded at the price of $62.975. Longer term futures were traded by 3.2% lower for all maturities, where December 2025 ended the week at the level of $69.485.
ETH futures made a higher move to the downside. Short term futures ended the week by around 14% lower from the week before, same as the longer term ones. Futures maturing in December 2024 were last traded at price $2.686, while those maturing a year later closed the week at $2.877.
Previous week markets used to digest US economic data, and realized that there is still no need for fear of recession. Markets were traded with a positive sentiment covering some losses which were brought two weeks ago and on Monday, after posted US jobs data which were weaker than expected. The US Dollar continued to weaken, supporting the price of gold to finish the week for one more time above the 2.4K currently strong support line. The S&P 500 managed to gain above 4% on a weekly level, however, it should be considered that previously, the index lost some 10% from its recent peak level. The US Treasury yields were traded higher, returning to the 4.0% level. The crypto market also gained during the week, with BTC reaching again the 60K resistance line.
Start of the week brought sort of a relief on financial markets after the US ISM Services PMI was posted. The indicator was standing at the level of 51.4 in July, higher from market estimate of 51 and Jun`s figure of 49.6. The ISM Services Business Activity was 54.5 and ISM Services Employment was standing at 51.1. The indicator shows that the US services sector is in relatively good shape, in which sense, there is still no recession developing in the US. In addition, weekly jobless figures were posted for the first week of August, where initial jobless claims reached 233K, only a bit down from 240K forecast. It did not take long for the markets to enter into the correction mode and switch sentiment from negative to positive. The panic from Friday`s jobless figures was over. Regardless of these developments, the market still anticipates with high probability that the Fed`s pivoting moment will occur in September.
JPMorgan has officially launched the LLM Suite project, a generative AI assistant program, which helps employees in writing emails and reports. The program was developed in cooperation with OpenAI, a maker of ChatGPT. For more than a year JPMorgan banned ChatGPT to be used by their employees, providing them now an alternative, which would be more secure for data protection of the Bank.
Elly Lilly was the company which occupied a lot of news space during the previous week, as its shares rose more than 11% for the week. The surge occurred after the company posted Q2 results and expectations that the full year revenues will be higher by $3 billion from initially estimated, due to a boost in sales of its two drugs for weight loss and diabetes.
The US Internal Revenue Service has released a new tax form for crypto brokers, which will be in effect from the year 2025. The form 1099-D will be distributed to clients of crypto brokerage firms, and it is expected to introduce more clarity and transparency when it comes to tax filings on crypto transactions.
Crypto market cap
It was indeed a stressful week on the crypto market, as well as on almost all financial markets. The fear over potential US recession and Fed`s forced cut of interest rates was so strong that almost all markets had a strong push to the downside. Still, the posted ISM data showed that the state of the US economy is not in a bad shape, which turned back investors optimism and a rebound of the value of financial assets. However, it should not be overseen that something did change. Analysts are pointing that the significant drop in the Yen carry trade is still not over and that currently some significant amount of positions is still open. A further increase of interest rates by the Bank of Japan might trigger similar developments in the future period. Still, despite a highly volatile week, total crypto market capitalization managed to stay relatively flat compared to the end of the week before. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 1% on a weekly basis, losing around $ 29B in value. At the same time daily trading volumes modestly decreased during the week to the level of 107B on a daily basis, as of the weekend, from 170B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at 439B, which represents a 27% surge from the beginning of this year.
The crypto market was traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. There were altcoins with significant gains on a weekly level, however, there were the ones which finished the week with a loss. Regardless of significant fluctuations in price during the week, BTC gained 0.9% on a weekly level, adding 10.6B to its market cap. On the other side, ETH made a significant drop of 9.2% w/w, losing almost $ 32B in value. XRP had a very good week, where the coin managed to increase its value by $8.9% adding 2.7B to its market cap. ZCash was traded on a positive side and increased its value by 27% w/w. Solana continues to be currently one of markets favorite coins, which increased its cap by 10% w/w or by 6.6B. Interestingly, one of the highest weekly losers was Maker, who decreased its value by almost 15% on a weekly level. There is still no official information what was the cause of such a significant drop for this coin.
There has been increased activity with coins in circulation. Tether increased the number of coins on the market by 1.0% w/w, increasing by this percentage its total market cap. XRP, Solana, Polkadot, Polygon and Filecoin increased their number of coins by 0.2% each. Thai week Miota was active and increased its circulating coins by 0.6% w/w.
Crypto futures market
Considering extremely high volatility, the crypto futures market was trying to catch up with the spot market, however, finishing the week at the lower levels from the spot market. BTC short term futures ended the week around 3% lower from the week before. December 2024 was last traded at the price of $62.975. Longer term futures were traded by 3.2% lower for all maturities, where December 2025 ended the week at the level of $69.485.
ETH futures made a higher move to the downside. Short term futures ended the week by around 14% lower from the week before, same as the longer term ones. Futures maturing in December 2024 were last traded at price $2.686, while those maturing a year later closed the week at $2.877.
Related publications
Frånsägelse av ansvar
Informationen och publikationerna är inte avsedda att vara, och utgör inte heller finansiella, investerings-, handels- eller andra typer av råd eller rekommendationer som tillhandahålls eller stöds av TradingView. Läs mer i Användarvillkoren.