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Sideways

The level defense patternI use the concept of a level being defended by either a buyer or a seller to find potential buying or selling opportunities. This is a specific pattern that can be identified on a chart. Let's consider one variant of this pattern. In this variant, the defense of a level by a buyer looks as follows: a buyer's candle closes above the level. Then, a seller's candle or candles interact with the level, followed by the appearance of a buyer's candle, which needs to be evaluated. If it meets the criteria, entry points can be identified. Let's look at a concrete example. The pattern developed over 10 hours. On the chart, blue-shaded areas represent 2-hour buyer's candles, and red-shaded areas represent 2-hour seller's candles. After the buyer pushed the price back above the 6.733 level, they attempted to resume from the 6.7571 level, the volume of the buyer's candle (632K) was less than that of the seller's candle (1.274M). Then, the seller attacked the 6.733 level with increased volume (709K) but could not push the price below this level. Note where POC of the volume profile for the 2-hour seller's attack candle is: below 6.7571. The high of the attack candle is at 6.8166. The next buyer's candle had increased volume (792K). Notice where the buyer's movement started in this candle: from the POC of the volume profile of the seller's attack candle. Now entry points can be identified. In this example, the entry points are visible on the 1-minute time frame. The chart shows two entry points. Note how volumes are distributed at these points and the resulting buyer's zones (blue rectangles on the chart). The first entry point is the defense of the breakout from the range by the buyer, which was formed in the previous 2-hour candle (RPL on the chart, 6.7784). The second entry point is the defense of the high of the attacking 2-hour seller's candle by the buyer (6.8166 level).
Education
by AlexeyWolf
TrendsThe trend represents the directional movement of prices and plays an essential role in most technical trading systems. Technical analysis differentiates between trending and non-trending markets, also called flat trending markets. Trending markets can be either moving upwards or downwards. The upward-moving market is called the bull market, while the downward-moving market is called the bear market. Normally, a market is considered to be in an uptrend when the price reaches higher peaks and higher troughs. On the contrary, the market is regarded to be in a downtrend when the price reaches lower troughs and lower peaks. The non-trending market occurs when there is no significant uptrend or downtrend, and the price moves within a certain range. Thus, the flat trending market is notorious for its sideways-moving price action. Key takeaways: Trends can vary in length and are classified into four main categories: primary, secondary, minor, and intraday. The primary trend is the most significant trend, lasting for months or years. It's characterized by the overall direction of the market. The secondary trend opposes the primary trend and usually lasts for weeks or months. Identifying trends is crucial for technical traders. Methods range from simple tracking of recent lows and highs to more complex mathematical formulas. Trend classification Trends tend to be of different lengths. According to these lengths, trends fall into four main categories: primary trend, secondary trend, minor trend, and intraday trend. The primary trend is the only inviolable trend and lasts for a long period, usually months or years. The secondary trend runs counter to the primary trend and is often measured in weeks or months. Further, the minor trend is measured in days, and the intraday trend is represented merely by daily fluctuations in price. The primary trend The primary trend can be subdivided into three distinctive phases. The first phase of the primary uptrend begins with the revival of investors' confidence from the prior primary downtrend. That is followed by the second phase, in which asset prices increase in response to growing corporate earnings. In the third stage, speculation becomes the dominant force driving markets higher. This environment, when asset prices are rising on the hopes, dreams, and expectations of individual investors, tends to foreshadow the beginning of the primary downtrend. Its first phase commences with the abandonment of hopes and dreams upon which investments were made. That is followed by selling pressure due to falling corporate earnings in the second phase, which later escalates into panic selling in the third stage. Illustration 1.01   The illustration displays the weekly chart of Nasdaq continuous futures (NQ1!) for the period between late 2001 and 2008. The primary bull market began after the bottom of the “dotcom” bubble and lasted until the peak of the real estate and credit crisis in 2007. Illustration 1.02   The image above presents the daily chart of gold (XAUUSD) during the 2008 bear market when it dropped 34%. The secondary trend The secondary trend is the intermediate-term trend. Its direction is opposite to the primary trend, and it represents any significant price drop in the primary bull market or price rise in the primary bear market. The secondary trend usually lasts for weeks or months. Its measure in percentage terms tends to range between 33% and 66% of the range of the primary trend. This trend is considered to be prone to market manipulation as opposed to the primary trend. Illustration 1.03   The picture shows Bayerische Motoren Werke's (BMW) daily chart throughout 2020 and 2021. The white dashed-line box indicates the primary uptrend, and the grey dashed-line boxes indicate the secondary trends, counter to the primary one.  The minor and intraday trend The minor trend lasts for a few days or weeks, yet always less than the secondary trend. It is more difficult to identify than previous types of trends since its amplitude in percentage terms is significantly less when compared to the primary and secondary trends. The same applies to the intraday trend that lasts for a few seconds up to several hours; it represents daily changes in the price and is regarded to have little predictive value. Trend identification Identifying a trend is crucial for a trend-based technical trader, and there are plenty of methods how to identify it correctly. These methods can be simple or very complex. The simplest method of identifying trends can be done by tracking recent lows and recent highs in the price of an asset. Other simple methods involve using lines, trendlines, and curves; more complex methods usually involve the use of mathematical formulas in order to generate a set of valuable data. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This article is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Education
by Tradersweekly
2
How to use different timeframesHello traders and investors! Today I'll talk about choosing the right timeframe and how you can use different timeframes when looking for trades. This will help us uncover what is hidden in this candle on the chart. When we look at something, we are usually limited by a certain viewpoint. From this point, we only see part of the whole picture. But if we move and look from a different perspective, we will discover new details and aspects that were previously unnoticed. The same applies to analyzing the chart of a financial instrument when using different types of charts or different timeframes. This post will focus on using different timeframes. On one timeframe, it may be difficult to understand the essence of what is happening, while on another, everything can become clearer and more understandable. I've already talked about using different timeframes when looking for trades in an educational article a few weeks ago (see the related post below). In that article, I highlighted 5 skills that help effectively trade in sideways markets. Discussing the first of them - how to combine higher and lower timeframes when looking for trades, I provided a practical example on the OPUSDT chart using the daily and hourly timeframes. In that practical example, I formulated target levels that are likely to be reached. You can see the results in the related post (see below). I'll provide another example of choosing the right timeframe and the correlation between timeframes, using the BTCUSDT chart. This will help us uncover what is hidden in this candle on the chart. In the update of this idea I noted that on the hourly timeframe at the contextual point of the seller (the beginning of the last seller impulse, level 66867), I didn't see an active seller and wasn't ready to join the sales at that moment. As a potential target, I indicated 62776. So, I looked at the chart on different timeframes and searched for what remains unnoticed. On the 7-minute timeframe, I discovered a sideways movement at the contextual point of the seller (level 66867), as mentioned in the idea update with a recommendation to look for a trade after exiting the sideways movement and protecting this exit: Now, let's analyze what happened next (on the bars chart, as bars take up less space and additional marks are better visible). The seller broke through the lower boundary of the sideways movement at 65626.87. The seller's impulse ended at 10:49 (New York time), when after breaking through the lower boundary of the sideways movement, the first buyer bar appeared. The key candle(bar) of the impulse (the largest volume in the impulse) is marked on the chart as "KC". Therefore, the seller's defense of this candle or the lower boundary of the sideways movement (65626) increases the probability of further price decrease. The price range of the key candle of the impulse is highlighted on the chart (from high to close). Now let's pick a lower timeframe to see more clearly what happened before and after 10:49. On the 1-minute timeframe by 10:49, a sideways movement formed, and at 10:49, the price attacked the upper boundary of the sideways movement (level at point 2). The key candle of the buyer's impulse ("KC" on the chart) is in the middle of the impulse. At 10:59, the buyer attacked a new boundary of the sideways movement (level at point 6 - 65249.01). Pay attention to the volume of the attacking candle. At 11:02, the seller pressed the attack candle, forming a seller zone (red background on the chart). On the buyer's candle at 11:04 (black downward arrow on the chart), you can sell because: On the hourly timeframe, the price is in the seller's impulse in the seller's area of interest, which defended the level 66867. On the 7-minute timeframe, the seller broke through the lower boundary of the sideways movement. On the 1-minute timeframe, the seller defended the level (65249.01) from the buyer's attack on a significant volume, which is within the price range of the key candle of the 7-minute timeframe impulse. And one more interesting point. Look where the seller's resumption on the minute timeframe came from - from the 50% of the key candle of the 7-minute timeframe seller impulse. Could the price, without reaching the target of 62776, go up? Yes, the probability of this event is not zero. And we see how the price did not reach the target by 18 dollars (black upward arrow on the chart) and turned upward. Where did the seller stop it? It stopped right there inside the key candle of the sideways movement exit on the 7-minute timeframe (black downward arrow on the chart). After that, the target of 62776 was reached.
Education
by AlexeyWolf
Trade in a sideways marketMain price pattern of financial instruments So, when we talk about the price of financial stuff, like stocks or crypto, it often moves in specific ranges over different timeframes, right? Whether it's weekly, daily, hourly, or even minute charts, prices tend to hang out in these ranges for a while. Traders call this kind of price movement "consolidation," "range-bound," or simply a "sideways market." In this article, we'll just call it a sideways market or range. When prices are stuck in this sideways action, they can break out with a sudden burst of momentum, kickstarting a trend, or they might just keep bouncing around, forming a new sideways pattern. Let's check out the daily chart of BTCUSDT starting from October 2021. On the chart (see above), we've marked those periods where the price was moving sideways with blue markers. Since October 2021, we've spotted 7 of these sideways patterns. We label the first point of each sideways move as "1". Out of 884 trading days, the price was stuck in this sideways action for 758 days (884 - 72 - 39 - 15), which makes up about 85%. This means that throughout this whole period, you could've been looking at trades from one edge of the sideways range to the other. Based on my estimates, most financial instruments spend more than 75% of their time in this sideways market mode. So, knowing how to trade in sideways markets is a super important skill for traders. And for investors, understanding these sideways moves can really amp up the profitability of their investments by pinpointing better entry and exit points. For example, right now, considering buying BABA stocks might be a good idea because the price is chilling at the bottom of a sideways range on the weekly chart. Example1 Mastering the Skills for Successful Trading in Sideways Market Being able to effectively trade within trading ranges, between their boundaries, requires not only a certain amount of knowledge but also the development of specific skills. Initially, one must grasp the theoretical foundations and then apply them in practice, gradually honing their skills. Let's look at the necessary skills: Skill 1: Understanding and applying the Concept of Time Frame (TF) Interconnection: higher TF, lower TF. Grasping the context of the higher TF in relation to the sideways market TF. Skill 2: Identifying sideways market: determining the absolute and current boundaries of the range, as well as the current direction (vector) of price movement. Skill 3: Recognizing zones of interest for buyers and sellers. Skill 4: Determining the presence of buyers at the lower boundary (bottom protection by buyers) and sellers at the upper boundary (top protection by sellers). Skill 5: Adhering to risk management principles when entering trades (especially crucial for traders). Each of these skills is based on a vast amount of knowledge that needs to be absorbed first and then applied in practice. The journey can be long and sometimes tedious. Is there a way to hack this system and shorten the time it takes to acquire knowledge, develop skills, and start trading? Well, there are options. For example, you can use technical indicators (such as RSI, Bollinger Bands, ATR, etc.) to make buying or selling decisions. Or you could completely bypass the process of acquiring knowledge and skills and rely on signals from Telegram channels or expert opinions. But what will you find there about trading in sideways market (ranges), where the market spends more than 75% of its time? This series of articles is written for those who are ready to take control of their financial destiny, who strive to understand how financial markets work, and who want to master the skills of independent trading and making more informed investment decisions. Here you will find the knowledge and tools to start understanding what is happening in the financial markets and how to profit from it. I don't promise any magic pills or "money" buttons:). So, let's get started. Skill 1: Applying the Concept of Time Frame Interconnection The higher time frame (TF) always takes precedence over the lower one. For instance, if we observe on the daily chart that the market is in a seller's zone (which is determined by Skill 3), then on the hourly chart, we need to analyze the seller's actions (Skill 4) and primarily look for selling opportunities. However, there might be a situation where the seller is inactive, and the price starts to rise due to buyer pressure (in this case, Skill 4 comes into play again). Example2 On the provided chart, areas of seller interest are marked in red, while buyer interest areas are marked in blue. Let's examine the period from March 25th to March 27th, highlighted in yellow on the chart. On the daily TF, we observe sideways movement since December 22, 2023, with the bearish vector (11-12) being relevant. The first target of the bearish vector, 3.119, was reached on March 19, 2024. The second target (2.822) and the third (2.611) remain valid. On March 25th, the price returned to the seller's zone on the daily chart (the red zone with the lower boundary at 3.680). On the hourly chart, on March 25th, the price trend reached the daily seller's zone and formed a range with 7 points. The breakout from this range occurred downwards on March 27th. Therefore, in this range, it was advisable to look for selling opportunities from the upper boundary and riskily consider buying from the lower one. Similarly, you can make investment decisions by analyzing, for example, the weekly and daily TFs. To be continued... P.S. This is indeed an interesting point! Despite the fact that the market spends more than 75% of its time in sideways movement, indicators and strategies specifically designed for trading in this mode have not gained as much popularity as other trading approaches. Even on the internet, including TV and trading Telegram channels, signals or analyses based on identifying sideways movement are very rarely encountered. If you have experience or knowledge about trading methods in sideways markets (including indicators), please share them in the comments!
Education
by AlexeyWolf
What Are The Different Types of Trends? Trend trading strategies play a vital role in every trader’s life because it helps them identify early trades to exit from the market when there is a reverse trend. Typically, there are three different types of trends given below: 1. Uptrend 2. Downtrend 3. Sideways trend Uptrend An uptrend is formed when a price is rising in value. Usually, a bullish trend has a very common structure. The price keeps setting new higher highs, simultaneously setting new higher lows. Downtrend A trader can see a downtrend when the price is falling in value. Usually, a bearish trend has a very common structure. The price keeps setting new lower lows, simultaneously setting new lower highs. Sideways trend The sideways trend is formed when the market remains static, i.e., the price neither sets new lows or new highs. Trend identification is the essential part of any trading strategy. Learn to identify the market trend with objective and reliable rules. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅ Please, like this post and subscribe to our tradingview page!👍
OANDA:BTCUSDEducation
by EliteTradingSignals
4
Day trading and Scalping Example NIFTY July 8I use multi time frame analysis very heavily. I always establish context for trading before I start the day. For context and levels, please check the following posts prior to July 8 *** Links Below I am always fascinated by day trading - not because of the lure of quick money. But I think it is extremely hard for me. At least it is hard for my personality. It is always said there are two kind of traders 1. Traders who can think very fast 2. Traders who can think very deep I always see myself comfortable in category two - deep thinker. But to put myself out of my own opinion's prison - I day trade. Though day trading is hard, it teaches many things to me as a trader. 1. Emotional Control and Money Management - I don't have time to adjust , reflect back and somehow prove to myself that I am on the right side. I better quickly exit of my positions with great emotional control. 2. Relentless Planning - Since I don't have lot of time, I have to plan insanely - thinking of all possibilities and my actions. 3. NO to laziness - I cant afford to relax during the day session. I need to have extreme clarity of thought throughout the trading session. Now, one may think that all these learning can be from any time frame trading. That's true. But when you have a ticking clock next to you and market presenting you 1 of n possibilities every single candle, that changes you for good. It makes you fast. Then you can adjust to larger trading styles easily. Below is my example live thought log for the day. I escaped the day with approx Rs 34 / lot profit. Not a bad hunt after crazy price movement! ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- NIFTY chart is extremely positive. Market looks prime for 11000, but global clues soft. Typically, such setups if bullish do not give chance to enter, starts with gap up. If there is no gap up it may be contra indication for sideways movement for the day. Since it is Wednesday , 1 day prior to weekly expiry, it is better to sell options and scalp premium. Risk : large volatile movement. Stop Loss, opening ranges of 1 st hr. Close positions starting from 1:30 PM. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1. Expectation was rally. But flat opening. Global markets are soft. Hence I sold 9300 CALL. Idea is to cash in Theta loss for the day in case of sideways movement. It is a risky trade. 2. Candle at 9.30 starts confirming this movement. Let this movement complete. 3. Any close below Previous day High, position can be added to. 4. As yesterdays high shows support around 10800, 10700 PUT is sold as well. Again Idea is to get benefitted by sideways movement and theta decay. 5. Overall position entry is now 33+30.30 = 63.30 Rs. 6. Since breakout failed, now NIFTY likely to stay in the range. So 10800 CALL sold 68.05 Rs. 7. So far trade is going ok. definitely signs of consolidation. BANK NIFTY broken out, NIFTY lagging. 8. Position 10700/10900 Strangle : 66 Rs (3Rs loss) Position 10800 Call : 74 Rs (6 Rs loss) -------------------------------------------------- 9 Rs Loss 9. Position 10700/10900 Strangle : 65 Rs (2Rs loss) Position 10800 Call : 56 Rs (12 Rs Profit) -------------------------------------------------- 10 Rs Profit Going as expected. On breakout of the opening range Another short added 10800 CALL 56 10. Opening range breakout failed. 10750 PUT sold, Now look for opportunity to reduce position on 10800 CALL as breakout failed. 11. Usually NIFTY may jump around after 1.30. VIX did not decrease so far. So NIFTY players sense uncertainity at these levels. Closed 10800 1/2 position. Position 10700/10900 Strangle : 56 Rs (10Rs Profit) Position 10800 Call *: 62 (6 Rs Loss) Position 10750 Put : 46 (3 Rs Profit) * Position 10800 CALL : (68-61) (7 Rs Profit) -------------------------------------------------- 7 Rs Profit / 7 Rs Booked Profit = 14 Rs 12. The price range is getting tighter. NIFTY advance decline is 25 to 24 Neutral. 13. As Expected move started. How strong the move to be seen. 10800 PUT sold as initial direction of the move crossing the range. VIX started cooling off 14. Break above range is not showing strong follow through so expansion attempt is not rapid. That is a good sign for my trades. Position 10700/10900 Strangle : 50 Rs (13Rs Profit) Position 10800 Call : 74 (18 Rs Loss) Position 10750 Put : 31 (18 Rs Profit) Position 10800 Put : 50 (4 Rs Profit) * Position 10800 CALL : (68-61) (7 Rs Profit) -------------------------------------------------- 17 Rs Profit / 7 Rs Booked Profit = 24 Rs 15. NIFTY is showing many indecisive moves. It is above previous day high. Essentially, the morning down move can be negated and fresh up move possible tomorrow. It is 2.20 PM so 1 hr to go in trading. Priority will be to close short positions first. Then Long ones. Closed 10800 Put : It was latest and more prone to loss. * Position 10800 Put : 49 (5 Rs Profit) 16. NIFTY dipped below Previous day Low. Now NIFTY can again go to 10800 17. Actually large moevement at 2.30 PM. Closed the positions. Final tally is Position 10700/10900 Strangle : (63 - 45)(18 Rs Profit) Position 10800 CALL : (68-61) ( 7 Rs Profit) Position 10800 CALL : (56-55) ( 1 Rs Profit) Position 10750 PUT : (49-46) ( 3 Rs Profit) Position 10800 PUT : (54-49) ( 5 Rs Profit) ------------------------------------------------------ 34 Rs Profit ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Retrospection : -ve's 1. Position of 10800 PUT sell was not a good position to take, it was more like a balancing previous position. Better option would be to just square off 10800 CALL position for loss. 2. Entry for 2nd position on 10800 CALL could have been better. Also it was not correct with original sideways assumption. +ve's 1. Traded as per the plan. 2. I was able to close everything fast enough before the volatile move. Reference Monthly Analysis Weekly Analysis July 7 Log
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by Observe_Think_Act_Think
1
The Main three categories and directions of TrendTrend is the direction of the market. In other words, it is the direction of peaks and troughs that constitutes market trend as the market generally move in successive waves (zigzags) with fairly obvious peaks and troughs. The market moves in three directions: 1. Upward trend or uptrend (bullish) – Series of successively higher peaks and troughs – “go long” 2. Downward trend or downtrend (bearish) – Series of successively lower peaks and troughs – “go short” 3. Sideways trend (trendless) – Series of Horizontal peaks and troughs – (a third of the time the market moves is flat/horizontal) – “stand aside” Major Trend – Anything over 6 months – Dow considered years Intermediate Trend – It is a correction in the Major Trend - Three weeks to three months as per Dow’s Near term Trend – It is a correction of the Intermediate Trend - Less than 2 or 3 weeks as per Dow’s
COMEX:GC1!Education
by Mauriello
HOW-TO GRID TRADE: How-to Find A Profitable Grid (Tutorial #4)HOW-TO GRID TRADE: How-to Find A Profitable Grid Using The "Grid Range Finder" Indicator. WHAT TO LOOK FOR... The best GRIDS are placed in sideways channels, consolidation areas, ranging markets and slowly upward trend areas. In seeking a place to start your next grid, you should seek out support areas, preferably during a sideways or upwardly trending time period. It's near impossible to predict how long this type market condition might last, but the ideal grid will run for 2 days+. Some grids can run for months! Did you miss my previous GRID TRADE tutorials? ( Start from the beginning ) ESTABLISH A RANGE Your next task is to determine a range depth for your grid (I suggest 4% to 8% as measured on the chart - though you may find other measurements better depending on the crypto you're trading, the average market volatility and your available capital) . This is why, when using the "GRID RANGE FINDER INDICATOR" you'll appreciate the "Auto-Fibonacci Lines" added to help in projecting how high or deep your range might go. In most cases, your range should span between either support and resistance or a nearby Fibonacci line. Once you've discovered your range "sweet spot" and a good starting point, "box out" a projected grid range that has logical support, resistance and fib parameters with a span (bottom to top) that does not spread your capital too thin nor expose you to too excessive risk. GRID YOUR RANGE In Tradingview, you can easy create a range box using the "Date and Price Range Drawing Tool" or the "Rectangle Drawing Tool." If you want to create actual grids in your range box, you can use the "Gann Box Drawing Tool" and play around with the settings if you are hard core. At the end of the day, this is only to give you a rough idea anyways. Your actual grid range area is automatically create in your Crypto Grid Trading Bot within minutes after setting up a few parameters (simple, simple) . So don't over do the time invested in drawing on your TV chart, keep it quick and simple. Find your range, put the parameters in your Bot and start making money! HELPFUL TOOLS THE GRID RANGE FINDER INDICATOR is ideal for traders pursuing this type GRID TRADING strategy. Yes, it's true that the trading process itself is typically automated, however the first and most important step for you, is to find a sideways, consolidating, ranging or slowly upward trending market. Review the other GRID TRADING tutorials I've published so that you can master this fascinating (and profitable) trading style. It's not that hard and it's well worth the effort. THE GRID RANGE FINDER INDICATOR will assist you in scouting-out market opportunities where a grid opportunity may be waiting. This indicator provides support and resistance lines for both long and short term price action, plus uniquely incorporates red and green COLORED trend tendencies in both the support and resistance lines, as well as in "Trend Dots" at the bottom of chart. TIPS FOR HOW TO USE THIS INDICATOR TO HELP FIND OPTIMAL GRID TRADING OPPORTUNITIES Use this indicator in combination with other indicators to fully maximize your results. First zoom out and determine the overall structure and phase the market is in (long term) . Remember, GRIDS perform best in sideways or slow upward ranging trends. Look for this. THERE ARE NUMEROUS WAYS TO USE THIS INDICATOR BELOW IS ONE WAY, TO GET YOU STARTED: The STEP NUMBERS below are illustrated on the charts above. 1. Watch for a major support point. 2. Followed by a higher minor support point. 3. Start grid during GREEN trend indication (as seen on indicator trend dots or trend support line) • If using Heikin Ashi candles (recommended) start grid on a GREEN candle 4. Map out your grid range of 4% to 8% using Support & Resistance lines and/or Auto-Fibonacci lines on chart. This is not a "SIGNAL" type indicator, it is a valuable tool (or aid) designed to assist you in conjunction with other indicators and market knowledge. Some grid traders use ONLY this one indicator, but you should evaluate the others I've created which may help you refine your grid start parameters and opportunities. For additional help there are details below. PLEASE HIT THE LIKE BUTTON (and follow me... lots of great stuff in the works!) As always, I appreciate your support. Please share with others. ENJOY! Dan Hollings Master Crypto Grid Trader Please Explore My Other Indicators, Scripts, Grids and Educational Ideas. @ DanHollings on Tradingview.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDEducation
by DanHollings
5
HOW-TO GRID TRADE: How Grid Automation Works (Tutorial #2)HOW-TO GRID TRADE (Tutorial #2): How a Crypto Trading Bot Automates Your Trades +PLUS+ Quick Set-Up Tips OK - TUTORIAL #2 - LET'S UNDERSTAND WHAT WE'RE DOING Automation via a trading bot will help you execute your grid trading strategy. (The bot I recommend is linked below and connects to your choice of 25+ various exchanges. My instructions are specifically for "my recommended grid bot" though the concepts should work anywhere.) CHART NOTE: If chart above does not display illustrations properly, please expand window or adjust scaling so you have THREE clear and separate examples. Or, scroll down for a screenshot image of these illustrations. Did you miss Tutorial #1? ( Go Here ) SET-UP IN MINUTES Your grid bot can be set-up with your range, grid spacing and capital investment amount within minutes. Your grid trading bot will initiate a start-up BUY, layout your future orders in a grid and continue placing and filling orders as price fluctuates, so you can benefit from any sideways and ranging market. You can grab a coffee, a beer or some spring water, sit back and watch (or better yet, spend time with your family!) In the meanwhile, cha-ching, cha-ching… one zig, one zag at a time, your odds of making money are good. Of course this assumes you’ve done your homework, set things up properly and picked an optimal time. Your only risk is a sudden price plummet (and yes this happens from time to time) but with a stoploss or counter strategy in place, you’re pretty much in hands-free mode and can check your progress once or twice a day. Next, let's explore in details of how the Crypto Grid Trading Bot actually works. In our random example, I'll use BTC/USD pair and the following bot settings: ILLUSTRATION SETTINGS: Price range: $16,000 - $24000 Quantity of grids: 9 Amount per grid: 1 BTC NOTE: Please focus on the concept, not the random range or investment levels in this illustration. This example is not meant to be a real signal or set-up! Just grasp the concept. 1. GRID BOT CREATED Once your grid bot is created, it will distribute buy and sell orders based on your investment settings, range and equal grid spacing (or grid profit targets) . The BUY orders will be placed below the current market price, while the SELL orders will be placed above the current market price. If needed, bot will automatically buy or sell currency to create grid. You will be prompted to confirm every step in the process. It’s fast, easy and fun. Remember, in this example we are only placing LONG buy orders and selling when price moves up one grid (there is NO SHORTING involved). Also remember, you can NOT edit (change settings) on a running grid bot. But you can stop your bot thus opening up the option to create a new one. STOPPING YOUR GRID BOT If for any reason you want to stop your bot (perhaps you messed-up, perhaps you change plans, perhaps the market starts looking negative, perhaps you want to take your profits, perhaps you want to move grid to a new range)... you can cancel your bot at anytime. I’ll cover this in greater detail in a later session of this tutorial series, but for now just be aware that upon bot cancellation - when you stop your bot - you may have open positions remaining that must be dealt with manually on your exchange or trading platform. CANCELLATION RULE: Every time you stop a bot, check your exchange for open positions and either sell, set limit order(s) or perhaps hold the crypto your bot has bought. The bot will automatically remove standing buy and and sell orders (you can double check your exchange to confirm this if you like). 2. PRICE MOVES UP You’ve started (in our example) at $20,000. When the price moves up to $21000 the first sell order is executed. The bot will place a new buy order one grid below at $20,000. 3. PRICE MOVES DOWN When the price moves down to $19,000 your bot will execute BUY orders at both grid lines ($20,000 followed by $19,000) . During that price drop , your bot will place new SELL orders at $21,000 and $20,000) after each executed buy order. And so it goes… your bot buys, your bot sells and grid lines are replaced with new open orders as the next grid line (up or down) is hit. Simple as that. 4. YOUR RESULTS This trading method will generate profit as the market ranges up and down. It works as long as the market movement stays in your predefined range. The “recommended grid bot” (see footer below) will automate this strategy for you and provide accurate reporting on your profit results. 12 QUICK TIPS FOR STARTING In future sessions of this tutorial series, I’ll cover important areas such as: how to find sideways markets, slowly trending ranges, and optimal grid bot starting points. I’ll even cover indicators that can help you with your grid trading strategy -AND- our Discord community specifically dedicated to future “Grid Masters." For now, please follow these basic steps: 1) Get your grid bot account. 2) Connect your bot to your preferred exchange. 3) Start with a cryptocurrency you trust (BTC or ETH or a top 10 coin) . Something you’d be ok holding (HODL) if worse came to worse. 4) Wait for a market where you expect or anticipate sideways or slowly upward ranging price action. 5) Keep your total grid range (lowest grid to highest grid) within 4% to 8%. 6) Select a grid count that renders your grid spacing (distance between each grid line) to a space comparable to typical zigzags you see in recent price action. Typically a .5% to .6% space between gridlines (as measured on your Tradingview chart) is a good place to start. 7) After your settings are enter in the bot, do click the backtest button. Double check setting, make tweaks, backtest again until you are happy. 8) Invest MINIMALLY on your first few bots (say $100 or something you can afford to lose) . Think of your first grid bot as a “learning experience.” 9) Set a stoploss under your grid (there is a setting within the bot for this) . If you don’t mind holding the coin if prices temporarily drop , then you can forego a stoploss. 10) Don’t dream of riches, instead anticipate all goes well and you get a rather healthy ROI (better than a bank and perhaps better than your trading results/ROI using other non-grid strategies). 11) If your first bot does not go well (worry not, remember the first time you tried to ride a bicycle?) . Review what happened and try again. 3%, 5%, 8% gains might be just around the corner. 12) Give your bot time to “do its magic” (perhaps 3 days, a week or longer) ... as long as prices are within or very near your range, you can leave your grid up and running. Why not? You’re making money! LIKE THIS (Click LIKE Under Chart) SHARE WITH FRIENDS - THANK YOU! HOW DO I LEARN MORE? 1) Review my related IDEAS and TUTORIALS (linked below) 2) Explore my GRID INDICATORS (linked Below) As always, I appreciate your support. Please share with others. ENJOY! Dan Hollings Master Crypto Grid Trader Please Explore My Other Indicators, Scripts, Grids and Educational Ideas. @ DanHollings on Tradingview.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDEducation
by DanHollings
3
HOW-TO GRID TRADE (Tutorial #1) Trade While You SleepHOW-TO GRID TRADE: HIGH PROFITS - LOW RISKS - TONS OF FUN. Trade While You Sleep Let’s be honest, trading is risky, especially trading crypto. We all know it’s just matter of figuring out if market prices are going up or going down, but isn’t it funny how the market seems determined to go in the exact opposite way you pick? Especially when you have money on the line! It’s great that markets trend 30% of the time, we attempt to catch the wave (up or down) and cash in when we’ve called it right. But the often overlooked reality is, markets go sideways, they consolidate, they squeeze, they get stuck in ranges over 70% of the time. Just when you thought you were catching a trend (to the moon!) , now you’re stuck waiting for the market to do something. It zigs a little, it zags a little, smaller moves, up, down, but nothing too exciting, right? If we only could get paid for watching charts wiggle in a range, not having to predict whether things are going up or down… THAT’S what would make you smile . Agreed? Especially if you could automate this “wiggle for profits” idea and reduce your risks to a bare minimum. THAT’S what this article is about. Grid Trading, or how to wiggle your way to high profits without losing your shirt. Let’s learn and have some fun! GRID TRADING STRATEGY Trading bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies with an automated solution has become a very popular plan-of-action because it guarantees 24/7 trading activity. It reduces our addiction to chart watching and lets us eat, sleep and be merry. It allows you to exploit trading opportunities around the clock, manage your risks without emotions and follow a predefined trading pattern that often beats the ROI (Return on Investment) you're getting from other hands-on trading strategies. While all this is true, it was another factor that brought me to Grid Trading initially. It was the fact that even though I loved to get in the trenches and trade chart patterns, indicator signals and often unsubstantiated “hunches,” I found that the capital I was NOT actively trading was just sitting there, doing nothing. The bulk of my capital was sitting in USD, or USDT or BTC . Because I risk manage and rarely enter a trade with more than 5% of my total available money (per trade) , more often than not… 50% to 80% of my investment capital was NOT realizing any return at all. THE LIGHT GOES ON One day, after testing a little known, little used strategy of trading within a pre-established GRID range where every tick-up and every tick-down had the probability of making me money, the light switch within my head went on. Why not take my some of my “reserve” capital, place in a Grid, automate the process, and let it earn a little “side-money” while I continued my regular trading activities? As this “side-money” project took off. I started noticing that it would many times make more of a ROI than my regular trading. I’d look at my Grid results and often see 2%, 3%, 8% over a 2 or 3 day period - these were serious returns, with far less the risk. Annualized I was looking at gains of 300%, 500% even 1000%+ if I just focused on Grids. uh, HELLO! Truth be told, Grid Trading is not a panacea of all wins and no losses. It’s also essential to know that a grid trading strategy does not guarantee a stable income in all market conditions. If you want to successfully utilize a grid crypto trading strategy (like I can teach you) , you must understand the fundamentals of trading, the current market phase, how to find grid trade opportunities, how to set-up grids for maximum gains and how to manage the risks. HERE’S THE GOOD NEWS Grid Trading is no harder than what you’re already doing and in fact, the learning curve is far less challenging. Most people can have their first grid up and running within a day or two. You can do grid trading while you continue your other trading pursuits (as it requires little time or effort). If done right, your odds of making money are much better than almost any other trading strategy you explore. LET’S START WITH A CRAZY LOOKING TRADINGVIEW CHART GRID BOT EXAMPLE THE PATH TO PROFIT IS NOT A STRAIGHT ONE... You’re looking at (in the chart illustration) is a 23 HOUR period (15 min. chart) with a grid range of 5.48% (bottom to top) . Had you been lucky enough to have bought at the bottom and sold at the top (just a regular trade) , you have pocketed roughly 5.48% on a single trade. However, with an automated GRID trade strategy, every zig down BUYS and every zag up SELLS all in incremental and equal portions of your capital. So the more zigs and zags you have, the better! Just as an example, you can turn a 5% gain into 8% if the path zigs and zags along its way. Keep in mind that in this example, we are only trading LONG, yet we profit from the up and down price action as prices cross each grid line triggering a buy or a sell. Once any transaction is complete, the automation resets a new grid line to replace the previous one that was hit. And so it goes, cha-ching, cha-ching, cha-ching! UP? DOWN? WHO CARES! Grid trading is a type of strategy generating earnings from the market movements in a specific price range. It loses its power in a strong trading market (for example when pump or dump happens. The grid trading technique explores to its benefit natural price volatility within a defined range. It does this by opening buy and sell orders regularly at fixed intervals above and below a market price. The advantage of grid trading is that it requires little forecasting of market direction (though you are best to seek out sideways or upward ranging market periods). In addition, it is easy to automate this strategy and run it continuously. The biggest drawback is if there’s a sudden price drop without retracement outside your pre-defined grid range. This drawback is best managed by adhering to good stoploss placement and smart observance of support structure and trend tendencies when setting your grid parameters in the beginning. BECOME A CRYPTO GRID MASTER Learn how to grid trade properly and you’ll experience one of the easiest, safest and time-tested trading approaches ever devised. Stick with it and in the long run, become a "Grid Master" and you can enjoy substantial results. FIRST IN A SERIES OF GRID STRATEGY EDUCATIONAL TUTORIALS I hope this tutorial series helps increase your bottomline! HOW DO I LEARN MORE? 1) Review my related IDEAS and TUTORIALS (linked below) 3) Explore my GRID INDICATORS (linked Below) HOW DO I AUTOMATE MY GRID STRATEGY? Explore further help and links at the bottom of this tutorial. PLEASE HIT THE LIKE BUTTON (and follow me... lots of great stuff in the works!) As always, I appreciate your support. Please share with others. ENJOY! Dan Hollings Master Crypto Grid Trader Please Explore My Other Indicators, Scripts, Grids and Educational Ideas. @ DanHollings on Tradingview.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDEducation
by DanHollings
2
Rule number 1 of trading/investing.As I am bored to near death, I just look at random stuff from time to time, and let me post about trading rule #1. You could call that a motivational post I suppose. PRESERVE CAPITAL. And do you know what trading rule number 2 is? Re-read rule number 1. Sure maybe the ranges can be traded but unless you are 100% sure and a strategy that worked over and over and over, don't bother. Even with a guaranteed strategy, I bet there is a risk of an explosive move at ANYTIME. So even if you just trade the range once twice then stay away to avoid taking that move against you it might actually explode before? Nothing is better than trading trending pairs (or stocks or crypto's). Maybe you can make quicker money on flash crashes buying dips, I still prefer going with trends, just nearly guarenteed wins if you don't join last :) (I have no idea who most of these people are) "Most investors focus on how much they're going to make rather than how much they could lose. Our focus is on the downside" Marc Lasry "Safety. Considering the downside is the single most important thing an investor must do. This task must be dealt with before any consideration can be made for gains" Irving Kahn “Don’t focus on making money, focus on protecting what you have” Paul Tudor Jones “An investor is more likely to do well by achieving consistently good returns with limited downside risk than by achieving volatile and sometimes spectacular gains but with considerable risk of principal. An investor who earns 16% annual returns over a decade, will perhaps surprisingly, end up with more money than an investor who earns 20% a year for nine years and then loses 15% the tenth year” Seth Klarman “An investor needs to do very few things right as long as he avoids big mistakes” Warren Buffett I want to quote Phil Town but on this all he does is quote Warren Buffet. "A very important data point for me is to try to avoid permanent loss of capital" Mohnish Pabrai "Look down, not up, when making your initial investment decision. If you don’t lose money, most of the remaining alternatives are good ones."Joel Greenblatt ^ Oh this is my trading system summed up XD "Watch out for the downside. Don't worry about the upside" Jim Tisch "We prioritize the avoidance of catastrophic loss first and foremost and focus on potential gains second" Zeke Ashton (See my post on the 2015 EURCHF mega drop that wiped up several brokers and legions of "hedge" funds) “Capital preservation is always far more important than capital enhancement” Seth Klarman “The notion of understanding the first rule of life is important: don’t lose money” Mario Gabelli "Return of capital is more important than return on capital" Mohnish Pabrai I wonder if bad traders prefer sideways markets, since it is more random and some of them with luck might end up not losing for the first time in their lives?
Education
by MrRenev
5