American Airlines Group Inc.Key arguments in support of the idea.
International routes continue to show strong demand. While the U.S. domestic market is facing challenges—especially in the low-cost carrier (LCC) segment—the company is capitalizing on inbound foreign tourism. However, it's worth noting that the U.S. Travel Association (USTA) reports the opposite trend: domestic tourism demand from U.S. citizens remains strong. We expect conditions in domestic flights to improve by summer 2025. During the reporting period, American Airlines highlighted that its premium offerings continue to drive revenue growth, and demand from American travelers for international flights remains steady.
AAL continues to rebuild its indirect sales channels, which is helping to expand its flight schedule in the short term. Following an acknowledgment of operational missteps in summer 2024, this recovery is not only helping to sustain current sales levels but also enabling the airline to better monetize its loyalty program.
Progress in tariff negotiations has given the stock a strong boost. Currently, AAL shares are trading with an RSI near overbought territory. However, if political progress continues, this momentum could very well be sustained. The recent formation of a technical "double bottom" pattern supports this possibility.
The 2-month target price for AAL is $14.9. We recommend setting a stop loss at $10.4.
