KMI - Bull or BearGood Morning,
Hope all is well chart shows it best. EMA 21 with some strong bullish momentum, probably enough to get us over that next line of resistance.
KMI good dividend play.
ENJOY!
KMI trade ideas
Expect a break out above 23KMI involves pipeline transportation of natural gas services was in bearish trend after touching 44 in 2015. During covid 2020, it touched a low of 9 and its been consolidating between 14 to 20. With dividend yield of above 4%, its good candidate to buy and hold for 2-3 years for a target of 31.
KMIFundamental Analysis of Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI)
1. Macroeconomic Factors
• Energy Demand & Natural Gas Market:
• Kinder Morgan, as one of the largest energy infrastructure companies in North America, benefits from increasing demand for natural gas.
• The transition toward cleaner energy sources has positioned natural gas as a bridge fuel, driving long-term demand.
• Growing usage in AI data centers, cryptocurrency mining, and industrial consumption reinforces the importance of pipeline infrastructure.
• Economic Growth & Industrial Activity:
• The global economy is expected to grow at ~3% in 2025, with the U.S. and China as key drivers.
• Economic expansion fuels higher energy consumption, increasing pipeline throughput for Kinder Morgan.
• Inflation & Interest Rates:
• The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy will impact capital costs for Kinder Morgan.
• High interest rates could increase debt servicing costs but also strengthen pricing power in midstream contracts.
2. Financial Performance
• Revenue & Earnings:
• Kinder Morgan expects an adjusted EPS of $1.27 in 2025, an 8% increase from 2024.
• Adjusted EBITDA is projected at $8.3 billion, reflecting 4% YoY growth, driven by higher gas transportation volumes.
• Cash Flow & Dividends:
• Kinder Morgan is a high-dividend-paying stock, with plans to declare an annual dividend of $1.17 per share in 2025, marking its 8th consecutive year of dividend growth.
• The debt-to-EBITDA ratio is projected at 3.8x, remaining within the company’s target range of 3.5x-4.5x, signaling a stable financial position.
• Capital Expenditures & Growth Strategy:
• The company has allocated $2.3 billion in discretionary capital expenditures for 2025, focused on natural gas pipeline expansion and energy transition projects.
• The project backlog reached $8.1 billion in Q4 2024, a 60% increase QoQ, with 89% of these projects dedicated to natural gas infrastructure.
3. Geopolitical Risks & Market Impact
• Trade Policies & Regulations:
• U.S. energy policies, including LNG export restrictions and carbon emissions regulations, could impact pipeline operations and profitability.
• Tariffs and geopolitical tensions might disrupt supply chains, influencing material costs and project feasibility.
• Oil & Gas Market Dynamics:
• The global shift toward renewable energy could reduce natural gas demand in the long run, though short-to-medium-term growth remains strong.
• Potential disruptions in global energy trade routes (e.g., Middle East conflicts, Russian sanctions) could increase natural gas price volatility, indirectly benefiting Kinder Morgan’s pipeline and storage services.
4. Conclusion
Kinder Morgan is well-positioned to capitalize on rising natural gas demand and energy transition trends, backed by solid financials and a strong dividend payout. However, macroeconomic conditions, regulatory shifts, and geopolitical uncertainties could pose risks. Investors should monitor interest rates, government policies, and global energy trends to assess potential headwinds and opportunities.
5. Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The information is based on publicly available data and market trends as of 2025 and is subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Let me know the next company you’d like analyzed!
KMI, Buy opportunity As evident on the chart, the correction has concluded at the 50-61.8 Fibonacci retracement level. Additionally, the price is breaking out above a descending trend line and a minor resistance level. In my opinion, once we receive confirmation of a breakout above this level, it may present a compelling buying opportunity. Potential upside targets are approximately 28 and 30. Be sure to set a stop loss in accordance with your individual trading strategy.
KMI potential uptrend continuationKMI, a stock that’s rather under the radar has been gradually climbing as of last week broken out of a 2 month consolidation and is looking to continue its trend moving higher. Forming a solid confirmation candle last Friday, I will be setting a pending order around its highest trading price of $21.87.
Plotting a Fibonacci Extension in its recent impulse move created during Earnings and Dividends news, the highest i’d hold the position would be around $23.75. A further confidence boost is given as ‘Argus’ and recently ‘Morgan Stanley’ setting the price target for KMI at $24. Therefore to assume holding it to our target price seems like a safe bet.
Kinder Morgan: Slanted Bullish Inverted Head and ShouldersKinder Morgan is heading into earnings and currently sits above the 200-week SMA and the POC as it forms what appears to be a Bullish Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. If these levels hold into earnings, I think KMI will have a chance at breaking out of the pattern and making its way towards the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement up at around $31.23 especially if natural gas prices continue to rise.
Stocks pairs trading: APA vs KMIIn the energy sector, contrasting financial metrics and market dynamics between Kinder Morgan Inc. (KMI) and APA Corporation (APA) present a nuanced scenario for investors. Analyzing their respective financial performances and market positions, it might be strategic to consider buying APA while contemplating selling KMI.
Reasons to Prefer APA Over KMI:
Earnings Per Share (EPS): APA's EPS of $4.87 is significantly higher than KMI's $1.09. This higher EPS suggests APA is currently more profitable and efficient in its operations compared to KMI.
Forward P/E Ratio: APA's forward P/E ratio is 5.89, lower than KMI's 14.91. A lower P/E ratio often indicates that the stock is potentially undervalued relative to its earnings potential.
Dividend Yield: APA offers a dividend yield of 2.77%, which, while lower than KMI's 6.37%, is balanced by APA's higher EPS and growth potential. This makes APA a potentially more balanced choice for growth and income-focused investors.
Profit Margin: APA has a profit margin of 17.77%, higher than KMI’s 16.22%. A higher profit margin indicates better control over costs and more efficiency in operations.
Year-to-Date Performance: APA’s performance (-22.45% YTD) compared to KMI's (-1.83% YTD) might initially favor KMI. However, APA’s lower valuation and higher EPS growth potential might offer a more compelling buy opportunity in anticipation of a potential market rebound.
Decision:
Buy 1 APA: Given its higher profitability, growth potential, lower valuation, and reasonable dividend yield, APA presents an intriguing investment for value and growth-oriented investors.
Sell 1 KMI: While KMI offers a high dividend yield and has shown stable performance, its lower EPS growth, higher P/E ratio, and lower profitability indicators compared to APA suggest that it may not offer the same level of growth potential or value in the current market environment.
Kinder Morgan continues to hold back the bears.Kinder Morgan - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 16.15 (stop at 15.51)
Support is located at 16.00 and should stem dips to this area.
16.00 has been pivotal.
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
The overnight dip has been bought into and there is scope for further bullish pressure going into this morning.
Prices have reacted from 15.89.
16.00 continues to hold back the bears.
Our profit targets will be 17.75 and 17.95
Resistance: 16.30 / 16.60 / 16.80
Support: 16.15 / 15.89 / 15.78
Please be advised that the in formation presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group
Kinder Morgan - KMI - Opportunity to enter?• Pennant formation after a nice upward movement
• It looks like the breakout from the formation is near
• The breakout should be supported by high trading volume
• Price target at USD 18.37
• Price target near the gap resistance at USD 18.34/18.52 formed at the end of January and the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement
• Let's see if there will be a breakout in the next few days
• Looks like a good opportunity to enter
Kinder Morgan to find support at swing lows?Kinder Morgan - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 16.11 (stop at 15.44)
16 continues to hold back the bears.
16 has been pivotal.
Dips continue to attract buyers.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
We look to buy dips.
Our profit targets will be 17.77 and 17.97
Resistance: 17.00 / 17.60 / 18.00
Support: 16.50 / 16.00 / 15.80
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Looking for Kinder Morgan dips.Kinder Morgan - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 16.11 (stop at 15.44)
16 continues to hold back the bears.
16 has been pivotal.
Dips continue to attract buyers.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
We look to buy dips.
Our profit targets will be 17.77 and 17.97
Resistance: 17.00 / 17.60 / 18.00
Support: 16.50 / 16.00 / 15.80
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Fading into KMI double top.Kinder Morgan - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 19.25 (stop at 19.71)
Levels above 19 continue to attract sellers.
Levels close to the 78.6% pullback level of 19.25 found sellers.
19.33 has been pivotal.
The previous swing high is located at 19.36.
Posted a Double Top formation.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
This stock has seen poor sales growth.
Our profit targets will be 18.11 and 17.71
Resistance: 18.80 / 19.35 / 19.70
Support: 18.45 / 18.20 / 17.85
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
KMI: pending correction?A price action below 18.00 supports a bearish trend direction.
Crossing above this level will negate the bearish stance.
Consolidation range from 17.50 to 18.00.
Crossing below 17.50 might target 17.00.
Testing it 200-day sma.
Also tracking from the upper range of the Bolliger Bands.
KMI: Fib might push it further down!Kinder Morgan
Short Term - We look to Sell at 17.96 (stop at 18.55)
The medium term bias remains bearish. Levels close to the 50% pullback level of 18.00 found sellers. Further downside is expected. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 16.55 and 16.00
Resistance: 18.00 / 19.00 / 20.20
Support: 16.50 / 15.80 / 15.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
