Altseason Will NOT Start While You Are Holding Altcoins!Hello, Skyrexians!
Time for the negative article about CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D which is our favorite topic recently because I see now the euphoria again that altseason has been started. The answer is no, it has not and the main reason is the crowd which still holding altcoins. I told many times - sell altcoins and altseason will be started.
Let's go to Elliott waves. As I told you wave 4 has been finished at 0.38 Fibonacci level and with the Awesome Oscillator cross of the zero line. Now it's time for wave 5. Target is the same equals 67%. Only when we see this price and the double divergence we have a chance that liquidity will transfer from Bitcoin to altcoin. Next 2 weeks will be disaster for all altcoins holders.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
___________________________________________________________
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BTC.D trade ideas
What is Bitcoin Dominance, and When Can We Expect Altseason?What is Bitcoin Dominance, and When Can We Expect Altseason?
✅ In the fast-paced and ever-changing world of digital currencies, traders and investors are continually seeking signs and tools to aid them in making informed decisions. One key sign is Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D).
Understanding this and examining its chart can provide us with important clues about what the market might do next, especially regarding when Altseason (the period of growth for altcoins) might begin.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
What is Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)?
Simply put, Bitcoin Dominance indicates the percentage of the total value of all digital currencies that is held by Bitcoin. For example, if the total value of all digital currencies is $1 trillion and Bitcoin's value is $600 billion, then Bitcoin's Dominance is 60%.
This number is very important because:
It shows market feeling: When Bitcoin Dominance goes up, it usually means money is moving to Bitcoin as a safer option, and people are less willing to take risks. When Bitcoin Dominance goes down, it can mean people are more confident in altcoins and are ready to take more risks for bigger profits.
It shows money flow: Changes in BTC.D show how money is moving between Bitcoin and altcoins.
❓ What is Altseason?
Altseason is a time in the digital currency market when altcoins (digital currencies other than Bitcoin) do much better than Bitcoin, and their prices go up a lot.
During Altseason, money often flows from Bitcoin to altcoins, and many altcoins can see their prices increase many times over.
Looking at the Current Bitcoin Dominance Chart and forecasting Altseason
If we look at the provided chart for Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), we can see a few key things:
Long-term upward channel: The chart shows that Bitcoin Dominance has been in a long-term upward path. The bottom of this path is marked by a blue support line , and the top is marked by a red resistance line . This means that, in the bigger picture, Bitcoin's control over the market has been growing.
Broken short-term upward trend: There was a shorter-term upward trend line (shown in black on the image) that the price broke below on May 9th . This break could be an early warning sign that Bitcoin's dominance might be weakening in the short term, and its dominance might start to fall.
⚠️ But here is a very important point:
We cannot be sure that Altseason has definitely started until the price clearly breaks below the main support line of the channel (the blue line) and stays below it.
The break of the short-term upward trend line (black line) is an early signal. However, to confirm a change in the trend and the possible start of a significant Altseason, we need to see stronger support levels, like the blue support line on the chart, get broken.
⏳ So, When Should We Expect Altseason?
Based on the chart analysis and the points mentioned:
Early Sign: The break of the short-term upward trend line (black) on May 9th might make people pay more attention to altcoins, but it's not enough on its own.
Key Condition for Altseason: The most important signal for the start of a real Altseason would be if the Bitcoin Dominance price breaks below the blue support line of the long-term upward channel. As long as Bitcoin Dominance stays above this support line, Bitcoin will likely keep its relative strength in the market, and altcoins might only see limited growth or could even face selling pressure.
Conclusion:
Analyzing Bitcoin Dominance is a useful tool for understanding how the digital currency market works and for predicting possible trends. Right now, because the short-term trend line has been broken, the market is at a sensitive point. However, traders and investors should watch the BTC.D price movements very carefully and wait for stronger confirmations, especially a possible break of the blue support line, before announcing the start of Altseason.
$BTC.D Dominance forecast: update May 2025📉 BTC Dominance (%BTC.D) Update – At Resistance, Altseason in the Balance
Back on April 5th, I published a forecast highlighting the critical 65% resistance level on BTC Dominance. That analysis still holds: BTC.D reached 65% and got rejected, pulling back to 62% as of now.
⚔️ What’s Happening?
Bitcoin dominance is compressing, and we're approaching a make-or-break moment:
🔹 Resistance confirmed at 65%
🔹 We bounced down to 62% — not up
🔹 Market is hesitating, and the next move will shape the short-term direction for alts
🔍 The Bigger Picture
Bitcoin pumped hard recently, mostly due to:
MACD reversal on the weekly
Oversold conditions now turning bullish
Renewed institutional interest in risk-on assets
But let’s be clear:
🚫 We’re not in a full altseason yet.
What we’re seeing is cautious altcoin rotation, not a blow-off alt rally.
📊 Tech Indicators
MACD: Overheated
RSI: Still has room to move up
So technically, BTC.D could still break out above 65% — but it hasn’t yet.
⚠️ What to Watch:
If BTC.D breaks out above 65%, expect:
➡️ Altcoin bloodbath
➡️ BTC.D could head toward 70%, crushing the mini-altseason
But if BTC.D continues to drop from here?
➡️ Altseason starts to heat up
🔮 Outlook
A true altseason might not arrive until September/October. For now, the market is stuck in a range of uncertainty.
Keep your eyes on:
BTC.D reaction at 62%–65%
TradFi stress (bond markets, macro fears)
Bitcoin strength and ETH/BTC ratio
🧠 Take profits when you can. Protect your capital.
📌 Follow me for future updates—and don’t forget to DYOR.
📎 Original forecast:
WhEn ALTCOINS SEASON ?!
well according to the chart, the altcoins season might start very soon and if we start to see break under the green lines levels then this might ignite the altcoins season. first break under 63.73% level might gives us an early evidence to support the idea and break under 63.3% level might confirms the possible start of altcoins season, hopefully, and the more it dips it makes altcoins even rocketing to the top. on the other hand, going back above 64.34% might weakness or at least delay this idea.
good luck
One Last Push for BTC Dominance Worried about Btc Dominance?
Don't Worry i have a Good news
Waiting for Altseason congratulations 🎊
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is showing signs of making one last upward push towards the key resistance zone between 64.60% to 65%. This area has historically acted as a strong barrier, and a rejection here could signal a significant shift in market dynamics.
Once BTC.D hits this range and fails to break higher, we anticipate a reversal to the downside, marking the beginning of a Bitcoin Dominance downtrend. This shift often serves as the trigger for Altseason—a phase where capital flows out of Bitcoin and into altcoins.
During Altseason, altcoins tend to outperform Bitcoin, with many showing multiple X returns in a short span of time. Traders and investors should keep a close eye on this critical dominance level, as the reaction here could determine the next explosive move in the crypto market.
BTC DOMINANCE AT CRUCIAL LEVEL! When Alt season? 🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥
Bitcoin dominance is once again hovering around the key resistance zone (~64%) that previously triggered a sharp rejection and boosted altcoins. 🚨
🟢 What we're watching:
Dominance bounced back after a breakdown from the rising wedge 📉
It's now retesting the breakdown zone (red resistance)
A rejection here = Altcoin Rally 🎯
A clean breakout above = Altcoins stay weak ⚠️
⏳ We’re at a decision point. Altcoin bulls are watching this zone very closely.
🧠 Our take:
Until BTC.D rejects from this level, don’t expect a full-blown Altseason. A strong red candle from here could open the floodgates for mid and low caps to run wild again. 🚀
📌 Stay patient, stay positioned. The move will be big—just a matter of “when.”
BITCOIN DOMINANCE Update (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
After hitting the two resistance lines marked on the chart (yellow circle), we saw a reaction, but it doesn’t seem like the trend has changed.
There’s a possibility that a double top could be forming on the dominance chart.
This suggests that selling pressure on altcoins may continue until this index approaches its peak zone.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Altseason or BTC Takeover? Charting Bitcoin Dominance’s Next MovBitcoin Dominance – Weekly Chart Analysis
In this analysis, we’ll review Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), comparing the patterns from the previous market cycle to the current one, and explore what might unfold in the weeks ahead.
Previous Cycle
Back in October 2020, BTC Dominance stood at 64%. It then surged to 67.5%, dipped to 60.8%, and subsequently rallied to a cycle high of 73.5%.
Current Cycle
In the current cycle, BTC.D climbed to 65.3%, then retraced to 62%. It has since started moving upward again. If history repeats—or even just rhymes—we could potentially see BTC.D reach the 70% level over the next 4–5 weeks.
During the previous cycle, the Total Market Cap excluding Bitcoin (TOTAL2) was notably low when BTC Dominance peaked. However, as BTC.D dropped to its lows, the TOTAL2 nearly reached its own cycle high.
The question now is whether we’ll see a similar pattern unfold this time.
That said, the market environment is very different today. We're witnessing unprecedented adoption from institutions, corporations, and even nations.
The coming weeks will reveal whether Bitcoin Dominance and altseason follow historical trends—or whether we’re entering new territory, with Bitcoin evolving as a maturing asset class and potentially forging a new path.
WARNING! Sell Your Altcoins, -40% Drop AheadHello, Skyrexans!
The title of this article is made specially for haters. I see euphoria on each small drop of CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D and understand that altseason now will not happen. People are still holding and dreaming Lambos. This is very bad for potential growth, so I expect only dump on risky alts with the new dominance push!
Look at the 4h time frame. As you remember from my previous analysis I expect the global wave 5. In my opinion waves 1 and 2 have been finished already. Wave 2 represented as an irregular ABC correction. Target at 0.38 Fibonacci has been reached. Now it's time for wave 3 which will reach 67%. During this dump on altcoins I wanna see total disappointment of moon boys and selling on every local bounce. I will repeat once more, market shall be cleared from the crowd to go up.
I am not an altseason hater. I am also holding some altcoins, but it's important to understand the real picture and have the right exaltations. Otherwise you will be disappointed and go out from rocket. I wish for clever, patient and realistic people to earn on the altseason, but first of all market need to persuade greedy and disrespectful people to escape altcoins.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
___________________________________________________________
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Bitcoin DominanceThe bear market in altcoins—characterized by their continued underperformance relative to Bitcoin—remains in effect. However, a strong bearish divergence is forming on the Bitcoin Dominance chart, indicating a potential reversal. This suggests that Bitcoin's dominance may decline soon, potentially signaling the beginning of a capital rotation into altcoins.
BTC & BTC.D – Confluence Setting the Stage for Altcoins🚀 BTC is gliding within an ascending channel on the 4H chart — the midline continues to act as a crucial support/resistance level.
📈 A breakout above that midline could trigger bullish continuation, while a rejection may lead to a short-term pullback.
📉 Meanwhile, BTC Dominance (BTC.D) has broken down from a rising wedge and cleanly retested the structure — signs are leaning toward a potential decline in dominance.
⚖️ What this means for altcoins:
BTC bullish + falling dominance = Alts could see strong upside 💥
BTC bearish + falling dominance = Alts may remain flat or see mild dips
🎯 This setup offers solid confluence across multiple signals — the kind smart traders prep around.
👇 Watching alt setups? Share them in the comments!
BTC dominance next move (maybe) looking at this BTC Dominance chart, we’re currently sitting around 64.13%, and price just tapped into that red zone marked as “FVG” — that’s a fair value gap, basically an area where price moved too fast before and didn’t fill orders properly as you see this is my take on BTC Dominance and i think its going to the order block that its around 58%
this is just my take, not financial advice. No one can predict the crypto market with certainty. It's wild and full of surprises, so always do your own research and stay sharp.
Altseason Loading… or Delayed ? Hello Traders 🐺
This is a quick update about the possible short-term movements of BTC.D.
As you can see on the chart, price has formed a clear bear flag pattern, and in my opinion, it's currently trying to break above a resistance box — but this pump isn't because of an altcoin correction — it's mostly due to Bitcoin's recent upward movement.
So in my view, we have two different scenarios:
1️⃣ BTC.D goes a little bit higher to create a larger double top pattern with the previous high at 65.52%, and then we may witness the true start of altcoin season.
2️⃣ BTC.D fails to hold the blue support line, and if the price drops below the previous low at 62%, this could finally be what we've been waiting for over the last 4 years... 🚀
I hope you enjoyed this idea — and as always, don't forget our golden rule:
Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable.
KIU_COIN
BTC DOMINANCE NEW UPDATE (1D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
This upward move is in line with our previous plan and is meant to complete wave G.
Wave F didn’t touch the green zone exactly and reversed slightly higher due to market maker manipulations, which has made trading in these areas more difficult.
It is expected that from near the top, the price will drop to complete the larger wave F | which might come with a green and attractive market. Completing wave G, which we are currently in, will likely take several more days.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Altseason Start Fibonacci 0.618, often referred to as the "Golden Ratio", is a key level derived from the Fibonacci sequence. As the numbers in the Fibonacci sequence get larger, the ratio of one number to the next approaches approximately 0.618 (or its inverse, 1.618). This value is known as the Golden Ratio.
Alt-season incoming? BTC Dominance about to breakdown.Daily Chart:
The red 21 EMA had already crossed below the green 50 SMA line.
Need the daily candle to close below the 21 EMA next for further confirmation, and possibly followed by a retest before heading down towards the orange 200 SMA, and setting up a lower-low after confirmation of the current lower-high that is setting up.
On the 4hrly, dominance has already broken down below the thick orange 200 SMA, as well as the 200 VWMA.
Same on the hourly chart.
Bitcoin Dominance Dropping AgainBitcoin Dominance rose for over a week, causing altcoins to once again underperform Bitcoin as it rose to new highs. This is normal in a real cycle - Bitcoin goes up, then sideways, altcoins go up, then the interest goes quickly back to Bitcoin. It is difficult to play the moves, but exciting to see the trend return after many years.
Today, once again, we have Bitcoin settling above a new all time high and altcoins outperform since. It feels like we are finally about to get a true bull market, but always proceed with caution.
ETH/BTC vs btc dominanceethereum received a reaction as we expected from the current demand zone in the bitcoin pair, and it seems inevitable that the upward momentum from the current area will continue. on the bitcoin dominance side, the same situation exists, but I think we will witness a bearish absolute process.
