WTI Crude Oil 4H Chart – Bullish Setup from Demand Zone📈 Current Price: $61.74
🔵 Key Zones & Levels
🔹 Demand Zone (Buy Area):
🟦 $59.48 – $61.39
→ Price expected to bounce here
→ 🔄 Potential reversal zone
🔹 Entry Point:
🎯 $61.39
→ Ideal level to enter LONG
→ Just above demand zone
🔹 Stop Loss:
🛑 Below $59.48
→ Exit if price drops here
→ Protects capital
🔹 Target Point:
🚀 $67.00
→ Profit-taking zone
→ Strong resistance zone nearby:
* 66.63
* 66.75
* 67.60
📊 Indicators
📍 EMA (70): 🔴 61.40
→ Price trading above = bullish signal
→ EMA acting as support
📏 Trendline Channel:
🔼 Higher highs & higher lows
→ Supports uptrend continuation
📌 Trade Plan Summary
* Bias: 📈 Bullish
* Buy: At 61.39
* Stop: Below 59.48 🛑
* Target: 67.00 🎯
* Risk-Reward: ✔️ Favorable (~1:3)
🔍 What to Watch
* ✅ Bullish candles in demand zone
* 🔁 Retest of EMA or lower channel
* ❌ Avoid if it breaks below $59.48
WTI trade ideas
OIL: Short Term Bullish Setup - Very RiskyOIL: Short Term Bullish Setup - Very Risky
The trading setup we have for OIL carries a high risk as it has been moving against news reports on war or OPEC topics for days.
However, OIL faced a strong support zone near 60, thus increasing the chances of further growth. Perhaps the situation in GAZA could keep the price above 60 and it could rise slowly as shown in the chart.
The main target zones are near 62.6 and 63.8.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
### Factors Influencing Long Positions in Crude Oil
#### Seasonal Demand Growth
Summer typically sees a surge in crude oil demand as increased travel and industrial activities drive up consumption. For example, gasoline demand in the U.S. rises significantly during summer due to higher public travel, providing support for crude oil prices and creating opportunities for long positions.
#### Geopolitical Factors
Conflicts, political instability, or sanctions in major oil-producing regions can disrupt or reduce crude oil supply, pushing prices higher. Although Middle Eastern tensions have eased recently, news of a potential Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear facilities previously caused oil prices to jump 3%. Escalating geopolitical tensions would favor long positions in crude oil.
#### Inventory Levels
A decline in crude oil inventories signals tighter supply, which may drive price increases. When inventory data falls below expectations, market concerns about supply shortages intensify, pushing prices higher and creating opportunities for long positions.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
USOIL BUY@60.5~61
SL:59.5
TP:62~62.5
Crude oil is moving upward again, testing 63 today
💡Message Strategy
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) met at their headquarters in Vienna on Wednesday to assess the current oil market situation. WTI crude oil prices climbed above $62 as OPEC+ said there would be no immediate change to current production policies.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, the medium-term moving average system suppresses the rebound of oil prices, and the medium-term objective trend is downward. After the oil price hit the low point of 55.20, the frequent alternation of long and short positions formed, and the embryonic form of a falling flag relay appeared from the shape. Pay attention to the strength of the oil price testing the upper edge of the flag. It is expected that after the medium-term trend fluctuates, it will still rise to the 64 position.
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil fluctuates upward, and the oil price breaks through the 62.5 resistance level. The moving average system diverges and arranges upward, and the short-term objective trend direction is upward. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator is above the zero axis and the golden cross opens upward, and the bullish momentum is sufficient. It is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to rise within the day.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 61.20-62.00
Potential bullish rise?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 61.68
1st Support: 60.72
1st Resistance: 63.49
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
The situation in the Middle East remains highly tense, with the Iran nuclear negotiations stalled and U.S. sanctions against Iran still in place. The two sides have significant differences on key issues such as nuclear facility inspections and conditions for lifting sanctions. Israel's military threats against Iran's nuclear facilities have continued to escalate, repeatedly stating publicly that it does not rule out launching military strikes against Iran. In the event of a conflict, as a major crude oil producer, Iran's crude oil production and exports would be severely disrupted, and oil transportation routes in the Middle East could also be blocked, creating a huge gap in global crude oil supply. At the same time, the geopolitical rivalry between Russia and Western countries in the energy sector has intensified, and geopolitical conflicts could lead Russia to adjust its crude oil export strategy, further exacerbating supply tensions in the global crude oil market and driving oil prices sharply higher.
Although OPEC+ accelerated production increases by 822,000 barrels per day in May-June, the remaining production capacity of major producers such as Saudi Arabia has fallen below 1.5 million barrels per day, making it difficult to effectively fill the supply gap left by Iran. Moreover, the production increase plan will be completed by October 2025, one year ahead of the original schedule, indicating concerns about long-term weak demand, which could instead undermine market confidence in supply flexibility.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
USOIL BUY@60.5~61
SL:59.5
TP:62~62.5
USOIL SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 61.25
Target Level: 56.17
Stop Loss: 64.55
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps youOPEC+ confirmed at its meeting on May 31 that eight oil-producing countries under its mechanism will continue to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day (bpd) in July, maintaining the same pace as in May and June. Although the market had partially priced in this expectation, the continuation of the production increase plan has strengthened the long-term logic of loose supply. It is worth noting that this production increase is not a unified action by the entire alliance but rather the result of core members such as Saudi Arabia and Russia voluntarily exiting production cuts, reflecting cautious attitudes within OPEC+ toward demand prospects. With oil prices currently breaking below the key psychological threshold of $60 per barrel, if the production increase plan continues into the second half of the year, it may further suppress the upside room for oil price rebounds.
USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps you
USOIL SELL@61~60.5
SL:62
TP:60~59.5
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 56,339.Colleagues, I was watching the price and was expecting a pattern for a reversal downtrend. I still expect a downward movement and believe that the price is in a combined correction.
This means that wave “B” has been formed and I expect wave “C” to reach at least the 56,339 area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WTI OIL Rejection on 1D MA50 aims at $56.50.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a 13-month Channel Down pattern and is currently under heavy pressure by multiple Resistance levels.
The immediate one is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has its most recent rejection last Wednesday (May 21) and as you can see, the price has failed to break above it, even though it's been trading directly below it.
As long as the 1D MA50 holds, we expect a test of the lower Support Zone at $56.50, similar to the September - December 2024 Support Zone, which was tested continuously after several 1D MA50 rejections.
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Oil bearish trend resumesI believe that we have been in a slow oscillating move to the high of $64.50. Which is a previous resistance area. The flash news of Israel planning on attacking Iran nuclear facilities caused a rally on the daily open. The markets viewed that this appears to be very unlikely to occur.
Price then hit the daily resistance area and started to fall since reaching these highs.
Today the build on oil inventories appears to have sealed oils fate and the downward pressure has continued.
Oil Price Stuck Near $60 Amid Geopolitical TensionsOil Price Stuck Near $60 Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Oil prices remain near $60, driven by global uncertainty. In the Middle East, tensions persist as Israel continues its military actions in Gaza. Meanwhile, the war between Ukraine and Russia continues despite U.S. efforts to mediate. Reports indicate that Russia has used North Korean weapons to intensify missile strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure, raising concerns about Moscow’s reliance on Pyongyang.
Adding to the uncertainty, Trump’s tariff policies are creating instability for major economies. However, OPEC+ has pledged to increase oil production in July, which could push prices lower.
For now, $60 remains a strong support level. If the price breaks below this barrier, further declines could follow, as indicated on the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
The outlook for the crude oil market next week, I hope it will Outlook for Next Week's Oil Price: Entering a Volatile Stalemate
Next week's crude oil market is likely to enter a consolidation phase, driven by two conflicting forces:
. Geopolitical Uncertainties: A Double-Edged Sword
- U.S.-Iran Negotiations: The fifth round of U.S.-Iran talks is planned, but significant disagreements remain over nuclear sanctions and regional influence. A breakdown in negotiations could reignite tensions in the Strait of Hormuz (through which 20% of global oil flows), potentially disrupting 1.5–2 million bpd of Iranian supply and triggering short-term price surges.
- Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Prospects: Unclear progress in peace talks leaves risks of renewed disruptions to Black Sea exports (critical for Russian crude and Ukrainian grain shipments), adding volatility to an already tense market.
- The outlook for the crude oil market next week, I hope it will be helpful to you
USOIL BUY@61.0~61.5
SL:60
TP:62.5~63
Bearish reversal?WTI Oil (WTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 65.18
1st Support: 55.69
1st Resistance: 71.43
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps youAlthough OPEC+ plans to significantly increase production in July and August, the actual implementation is uncertain. Some member states may struggle to meet production targets due to their own capacity, technical, or financial limitations, which could result in the actual supply increase being lower than expected. For example, in some small and medium oil-producing countries, aging equipment and backward mining technologies make it difficult to truly implement production increase plans even if they exist. The U.S. shale oil industry is facing the dual challenges of rising equipment costs and low oil prices, with many small and medium-sized drilling companies struggling to survive and even possibly shutting down some oil wells due to continuous losses. This means that U.S. shale oil production may not only fail to grow but could also decline, thereby reducing global crude oil supply and supporting oil prices.
As the "heartland" of global crude oil supply, the Middle East has always been in a tense situation. The Iranian nuclear issue remains unresolved, relations between the U.S. and Iran are highly strained, and Israel is also eyeing Iran's nuclear facilities. Once a conflict breaks out, Iran's crude oil production and exports will be hindered, and oil transportation channels in the Middle East may also be affected, leading to a significant reduction in global crude oil supply and triggering a sharp rise in oil prices. This potential geopolitical risk could(at any time) become a catalyst for driving oil prices higher.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
USOIL BUY@60.5~61
SL:59.5
TP:61.5~62
WTI Consolidates and Holds Above 60Crude oil remains locked in a resilient sideways range, with strong support between $55 and $58, and a key resistance zone between $63 and $65. Momentum indicators are mixed:
• Daily RSI remains neutral, allowing for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
• Weekly RSI shows a clean bounce from 2020 extremes, suggesting underlying bullish potential.
Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Scenario:
A sustained move above $63.80–$65 could pave the way for gains toward $66.90, $69.20, and $71.
Bearish Scenario:
A decisive break below $58 would expose downside risk toward $56.70 and $55. In the case of extreme market turbulence, further losses toward $49 remain possible—potentially setting up for a new long-term bullish positioning.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
WTI - Bullish Momentum Targets $65US Light Crude has demonstrated remarkable resilience after experiencing a significant correction from March highs around $72 down to the $55 support zone in late April. The commodity has since staged an impressive recovery, climbing steadily from those April lows to current levels near $62, effectively reclaiming more than half of the previous decline. This recovery pattern suggests strong underlying demand and buying interest at lower levels, with crude oil successfully breaking above key resistance areas during its ascent. The current price action shows the market consolidating near recent highs while maintaining an upward bias, with the technical structure indicating further upside potential toward the resistance zone highlighted around $65. Given the strong bounce from support, sustained momentum, and the overall recovery trajectory, the higher probability scenario favors a continuation of the bullish move targeting the upper resistance band.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USOIL HEIST ALERT: Thief Entry Loaded – Target Locked!🚨 The Ultimate US OIL / WTI Heist Plan – Thief Trading Style 🎯💸
Hey Money Makers, Hustlers, Market Bandits! 🌍
Hola, Ola, Bonjour, Hallo, Marhaba! 👋🌟
We’re back with a slick WTI energy market heist based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥—powered by a mix of technical & fundamental strategies. The vault is wide open and the bullish loot awaits!
🗺️ Strategy Brief:
We’re aiming for a clean bullish getaway near the high-risk MA zone—where traps are set and bearish robbers lurk. Watch out for overbought zones, trend reversals, and consolidation ambushes.
📈 Entry Point:
“The vault is open! Enter the bullish heist at will.”
Look to place Buy Limit Orders around swing highs/lows or pullback levels on the 15m–30m timeframe.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Set your Thief SL around the recent swing low using the 3H timeframe (example: 60.300).
Adjust based on your risk appetite, lot size, and number of entries.
🎯 Target: 65.200
That's where we celebrate the score, traders! 🥂💸
📊 Heist Justification (Fundamentals + Sentiment):
The WTI market is currently bullish, fueled by a mix of:
✅ Macro economics
✅ COT data
✅ Seasonal trends
✅ Intermarket signals
✅ Inventory & storage dynamics
📌 For full analysis and future target breakdowns, check the linkk in our profilee 🔗👀
⚠️ Important Alert – Manage Your Risk During News:
🚫 Avoid fresh entries during major news releases
✅ Use trailing stops to protect running gains
Stay sharp, stay safe.
💥 Hit the Boost Button if you support the Thief Strategy!
Join the crew, ride the wave, and let’s rob the market like pros 💼🕶️💰
📅 Stay tuned for the next master plan. Another heist is always around the corner.
Until then – steal smart, win big! 🐱👤🔥
USOIL MONTHLYUSOIL,oil is on a demand floor and will continue to upswing into 70-69 dollar zone ,am holding oil buy till 70$ per barrel
at 70$ zon,e buyers will face supply roof ,a critical make or break zone ,if they break the structure ,oil will fly higher and if they respect the supply roof, we sell on the fundamentals of a broken SR/RS RULE..35$ zone will be watched in a bearish scenario.
Relationship Between US Oil Prices (USOIL), Bond Yields, and Interest Rates
1. General Correlation Between Oil Prices and Bond Yields
Over recent years, US crude oil prices and 10-year US Treasury bond yields have shown a strong positive correlation, often moving in tandem.
When oil prices rise, it typically signals stronger economic activity and higher inflation expectations, which tend to push bond yields higher as investors demand greater compensation for inflation risk and growth prospects.
Conversely, falling oil prices often correlate with lower bond yields due to expectations of weaker growth and reduced inflationary pressure.
2. Oil Prices Leading Bond Yield Movements
Short-term trend changes in crude oil prices often lead changes in bond yields by a few weeks, meaning oil price movements can be a useful indicator for bond market trends.
For example, a sustained rise in oil prices due to supply constraints or geopolitical tensions often precedes an increase in Treasury yields.
3. Recent Divergences and Market Dynamics
Recently, the usual positive relationship between oil prices and bond yields has broken down temporarily, reflecting unusual market conditions such as US fiscal uncertainties and changing safe-haven dynamics.
For instance, oil prices dropped due to expectations of increased production, while US bond yields increased following economic data releases, showing a temporary divergence.
4. Impact of Oil Prices on Interest Rates and Inflation Expectations
Rising oil prices contribute to higher inflation expectations, which in turn can lead to higher nominal bond yields as investors seek compensation for inflation risk.
Central banks, including the Federal Reserve, may respond to sustained high oil prices and inflation by maintaining or raising interest rates, which also pushes bond yields higher.
Conversely, falling oil prices can act as a disinflationary force, potentially easing pressure on interest rates and bond yields, though recent market behavior shows this effect can be muted by other factors.
5. Economic Implications
Higher oil prices combined with rising bond yields and a strengthening dollar can act as a "tax" on the US economy, potentially slowing growth and increasing recession risks.
The interplay of oil prices and bond yields is a key factor in assessing the economic outlook, inflation trajectory, and monetary policy stance.
Summary Table
Factor Relationship / Impact
Oil Price ↑ Bond yields ↑ (due to inflation & growth expectations)
Oil Price ↓ Bond yields ↓ (due to lower inflation & growth fears)
Oil price trend leads bond yields Oil price changes precede bond yield changes by weeks
Recent divergence Temporary breakdown due to fiscal concerns, policy uncertainty
Inflation expectations Higher oil → higher inflation expectations → higher yields
Economic growth impact Higher oil + yields = economic headwind (stagflation risk)
Conclusion
The relationship between US oil prices (USOIL) and bond yields is generally positive and significant, with oil price movements often leading bond yield trends. Rising oil prices tend to push bond yields and interest rates higher through increased inflation expectations and stronger economic activity signals. However, recent market conditions have caused some temporary divergences due to fiscal uncertainties and changing safe-haven demand. Monitoring oil prices is crucial for anticipating bond market movements and understanding the broader macroeconomic environment.
#usoil #dollar #oil
USOIL – Reclaiming the Energy Narrative | WaverVanir Macro Rever📉 Chart Thesis:
After nearly three years of structural decline from the $129 peak, crude oil (USOIL) is approaching a confluence zone of historic Fibonacci support ($56–$60) and a multi-year descending trendline.
This zone may mark the bottom of a long-term accumulation phase.
🧠 Strategic Perspective (WaverVanir View):
“It’s time to take back our resource. Not just politically—but economically, institutionally, and structurally.”
WaverVanir International LLC sees this setup as a rare macro pivot. This isn’t about short-term fluctuations—it’s about the global realignment of resource value in a world where:
Central banks are overleveraged
Strategic petroleum reserves are drawn down
War premium is mispriced
Real assets are undervalued
📊 Key Levels:
Support Zone: $56.04 (historical institutional buy zone)
Breakout Trigger: Trendline above $67.00
Target 1: $101.35 (0.786 Fib)
Target 2: $129.42 (1.0 Fib)
Target 3: $160.58 (1.236 Fib projection)
⚠️ Risk Disclosure:
We are not yet capitalized but actively building a legally compliant funding vehicle. No capital is currently allocated. This post is part of our vision publication cycle to build trust and transparency in WaverVanir’s thesis.
📌 Follow WaverVanir International LLC for conviction-based macro trade ideas at the intersection of data science, price action, and risk strategy.
#USOIL #MacroTrading #Commodities #WaverVanir #TradingView #QuantMacro #EnergyRevolution #FibonacciAnalysis #MarketStructure #EmergingFund
USOIL : What will happen to the price of oil?Hello friends
As you can see, we had support in the past, which has now become a strong resistance for the price after it was broken.
Now we need to see if the price will manage to break it at this moment when it is close to its key and sensitive resistance.
*Trade safely with us*