We attempt to showcase a framework for viewing volatility, categorizing volatility regimes and tying it into broad exposure in all risk assets.
We talked about our 1st death via 100 cuts (our May Entry into VIX Options) OUCH. We knew this was a game of patience and timing. Upon releasing our video last week, the entry was ripe... Today, after a major spike in FOMO equities (Think: Tesla up 200 points...then down 300) we got the breakout we wanted. THE VIX: DO OR DIE MOMENT. We cover the: fundamental...
We talked about our 1st death via 100 cuts (our May Entry into VIX Options) OUCH. We knew this was a game of patience and timing. Upon releasing our video last week, the entry was ripe... Today, after a major spike in FOMO equities (Think: Tesla up 200 points...then down 300) we got the breakout we wanted. THE VIX: DO OR DIE MOMENT. We cover the: ...
We were early on our VIX call back in May. In essence, being too early is = being wrong. We come back at the VIX with a fully-loaded trade plan. The fundamentals line up and we cover them. The technicals line up and we chart them. Assymetrical? check. Thorough? check. Logical? check. Oh, earnings season...will you please speak truth to dem der bulls?
The full story on what triggers the Euro to slowly slip past 1.07, 1.06...and then parity. This is the most dynamic story no one is talking about. When German dynamite starts flickin the ECB lighter...it's only a matter of time. A full sell-off will implode derivative trades that have banked on the Euro ALWAYS being above 1.00. This has enormous...
19 Reasons. 4 Bullish 15 Bearish Full Fundamental Walk-through of the thesis. I also share my "eager beaver" mistake of not waiting for the right opportunity...cost me alot. In the previous video, I presented 2 entries for the week. ~2900 and ~2940. All of this in a 20 minute trade plan that tells the story, gives the entries, and shares the targets....
Another multi-disciplinary, cross-asset class approach to looking at a pig painted up for a pageant...The Russell. We xplore the basic technicals, the STRONG SIGNALS inside the RUT...and OUTSIDE THE RUT. We still think this has the most downside out of all the equity markets... Think otherwise ? We'd love to hear your logical and data-driven story...
Taking a walk through the chart with an open mind... Bull did not show up on an UP OIL day. Bear Setups lurking in the woods. Could this be the last entry zone before the capital flows out of the SP at a rapid pace? We explore the fundamental signals, the 2 possible entries, and the mental side of holding onto a position in the red. IF you are looking for...
We explore the VIX from a fundamental and technical view. We go through the thesis as to why this has been cheapened in the last 6 weeks of Equities Rallying. We look at Oil and its "Confirming Spill-Over" into Stocks. It has a great risk/reward when played via Call options. Again, VIX is a fundamentally-driven chart...it may have some Technical stuff to...
Continuing coverage of the short taken at 2940 SP and 2800 SP.. Yes, were in profit. No, we're not in profit. What? How could this be??? Trade management, explained. Here is our 90% Bayesian probability study in simple terms: This would be a place capital leaks out of the SP. I did leave 10% of an upside possibility (see: Bulls can rip your face off with...
We examine the pros and cons of shorting the SP 500 here. Yes, its not rocket science to have a bear story here. Yes, the perma-bulls can rip your face off with another bullish "up" days. But if you play this correctly, there is an opportunity with asymmetric risk/reward... If you risk manage it. Were at a spot 2950-3000 where there's gonna be some...
As we have been mentioning in videos for the last 11 months, the DOW has confirmed a break of the 23, 350 low back in March, with a break below 22,900. Bottom line: We bearish, meng! Follow along as we point out possible stops along the way and potential entry points for all things SDOW. Im so excited that this has finally arrived... Sitting in the bushes...
A short take on which of the two big boys should be stronger on the upcoming short-term rally. We examine BTC and it's price action vs ETH and its price action.... Time to get ready for a quick pop, to say the least...this pullback is looking solid for entry into another crypto rollercoaster :)
Looks like the shorts covered and popped us from the 6600 level to 7300 in a few hours... We definitely have a higher low and higher high on the daily charts now and a retest of the DEATH LINE is due. We cover the simple price action and possible entries for a short-term ride up before figuring out longer term price direction. From the treehouse...
Not much has been cooking direction-wise in the last 5-6 weeks since the last video... Just pointing out Key Levels and one interesting cultural norm about traders in July/August that might bring about a few more cracks in the equities game. Currently down in Central America building a massive treehouse at the moment and have been watching the markets...
We explore Long Term BTC charts and overlay the typical technical analysis with some juicy new info that just came available that makes so much sense...it made me shift my bias a bit. Shout out to Marquito for pointing out a technical nuance in the charts...(Happens to be backed by strong probabilities) We examine the long term setup on BTC. (Bullish) We...
The Dow looks to be back into bearish mode after a "stronger"start to May. The run up to 25,000 is looking more like cover for bears to exit their massive positions and avoid getting crushed in the upcoming decline... The smart money used this run-up to 25,000 resistance as a place to make one FINAL DUMP. We cover some key technical points on the video but...
Listed in early March, this project endured the crypto-winter of 2018 and has organically grown itself under the radar for the last 100 days. On May 20th this project listed on KuCoin and the Coinmarketcap.com world started to become curious as to what was beyond the basic name. We take a look at the full story. Mostly piecing it together with... A...