Nemo_Confidat

Coffee - SHORT

Kort
Nemo_Confidat Uppdaterad   
ICEUS:KC1!   Coffee C Futures
Seasonal tendencies are working against this, paired with U$D pressures as those continue to build.
Beyond that, world production is in steady decline with visible crisis levels looming on the horizon (within a decade). This is mostly due to radically increased UV levels in coffee growing regions, paired with a rapidly declining global work force.
Kommentera:
Fixing to go Short, again (previous entry ended up a scratch - $0), as the fundamentals - above - haven't changed at all except now a lot of the funds are now stuck Long here! (Potential sellers at the first opportunity.)
Everything (fundamentals; declining demand, supply overhang, etc) still working against this, at least through mid Autumn. Then (and only then!) will this have the potential to rally into the season.
Kommentera:
This has a long way to go!
Stay SHORT!
Kommentera:
(once this gets going) it is one of the best money-makers out there, as usual;
... with still miles & miles left to go! (Waste not, want not.)

Here it is, up close and personal - the Daily;
Kommentera:
Coffee (much like copper) has been very good to us all year long, and then some;
Every reason to remain SHORT here.
Handel aktiv:
This is one of those instances where I forgot to update this one (and didn't realize it);
This was a FLAT (for +38.70 points in net profit) off of that support area at 155.00, as well as switching to a LONG (since yesterday) off of that Stop Hunt, with ~180 as the near term Long target.
This however, remains a long term Short! (Thus, do not load up long here if unwilling to keep an eye on it.)
Kommentera:
Talk about by-the-numbers;
It just doesn't get any easier than this!
Kommentera:
Our largest trade of the year (by far!) has reached it's target, for all practical purposes (including seasonal components now likely to emerge as a factor here).
FLAT
On this fairly strait -26% drop from entry (June) to exit we've cleared +198% Net on AUM! (Up +274% Net on AUM for the year - so far.)
Admittedly, we've been pushing this trade from the get-go with massive leverage, to maximum success, as it turns out.
One would also be well advised to start keeping an eye out for a near term Long Entry, at these levels.
Handel aktiv:
LONG
Kommentera:
... and that's how it's done! ;-)
LONG - ride it like a rented mule!
Handel aktiv:
(still) LONG and not in a hurry to jump off the Hokkaido Express here, just yet - since it's still moseying at C/2. BUT ... with Stops now tightened, time is being lavished on browsing the cabin layout for the various exit locations.
These two trades since Jul. have combined into a symphony of symmetries (minus any drama) for a rather respectable +48% Net => +80 pts. - so far -, making these 2 trades in Coffee easily our 2nd largest haul (in $ terms) for the entire year. 😎

See X(twitter): @arl_capital
for the most frequent updates.

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