[S&P 500] short term bullish but mid term bearish

Technical indicators show a high probability of a “dead cat bounce” pattern which is a bullish retracement inside a downtrend.

Indeed, the drop was triggered by a huge bearish MACD divergence and confirmed by a cross between MA50 and MA200, while the recent rise was triggered by a small bullish MACD divergence.

I believe the bullish retracement will end below the 50% FIBO and will be confirmed by the historical resistance of the 50 period disparity index.

Kommentera:

I expect a reversal between 4150 and 4300.