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Major Trend Reversal based on Al Brooks theory; 40% probability.

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FX_IDC:USDBRL   USA-dollar / Brasiliansk real
Subjective analysis based on the Al Brooks method. We have a broad bullish channel, and within that channel we have an upward and downward trend. If the context continues in the same way (it will probably continue until the market cycle changes) it is possible to imagine a new bearish leg that sets up a new bearish trend within the broad bullish channel illustrated. In addition, a major trend reversal sequence (from high to low) was noted in a region of resistance of the bullish broad channel + high climate bar in the region of resistance. According to the theory, we will have a 40% chance of reaching a 2 to 1 target, however, in my opinion we have a little more probability, I would say more than 60% of reaching the first target, due to the macro context in which the broad channel discharge is inserted.
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