XAUUSD[GOLD]: 1 Hour View Show Extreme Seller Volume Gold in a shorter time frame shows extreme bearish volume kicking in the market, where bulls are failing to push prices higher. Additionally, if you’re someone who analyses patterns, a HEAD AND SHOULDERS pattern has also formed. There are three targets you can aim for.
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Head and Shoulders
Inverse H&S + Triangle = Gold’s Perfect Setup for a BreakoutAs I expected in my previous idea , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise after a correction and made another attack on the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) .
Gold is currently moving near the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) and Yearly Resistance (2) .
If we look at the Gold chart from a Classic Technical Analysis perspective, two Classic Patterns are clearly visible.
1- Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern , which is a good sign for a Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) breakout.
2- Symmetrical Triangle Pattern is also a sign of a continuation of the recent bullish trend
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold seems to have completed the corrective waves , and we can expect the start of an impulsive wave . Breaking the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245 ) can be a good sign for the start of an impulsive wave and a gold pump .
I expect Gold to trend higher in this week , and the first sign could be a break of the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) . The targets are clear on the chart.
Note: If Gold touches $3,179 , we should expect a drop.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Reversal ConfirmedGOLD reached a significant horizontal support level last week..
The price formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern, leading to a bounce that broke through a strong downward trend line.
This indicates buyer strength, suggesting the market may continue to rise, with a target of 3322.
USDJPY: Very Bearish Setup ExplainedI spotted a lot of bearish confirmations on 📉USDJPY on a 4H time frame:
A significant head and shoulders pattern was formed, and its neckline is broken.
As the right shoulder formed, a distinct horizontal trading range emerged, which also saw support being violated.
The neckline serves as an important horizontal support, and the market has broken through all of these levels.
We can expect further declines, with the next support level at 143.
EURUSD: One More Bullish ConfirmationThe EURUSD pair formed another bullish pattern on the 4-hour chart following a test of significant daily/intraday support.
An inverted head and shoulders pattern was formed, with a bullish breakout of the neckline.
I anticipate further upward movement in the market, with a target of 1.1414.
5/21 Gold Trading SignalsGood afternoon, everyone!
In yesterday’s trading, our buy-side positions performed well, but unfortunately, sell orders around 3280 weren't closed in time, resulting in a partial loss of profit.
Today, gold has shown impressive strength, breaking above the 3300 level and forming an irregular inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. Technically, this implies further upside potential.
🔍 Based on price action and technical patterns, this rally could extend beyond 3330, and even test 3350+. However, the 3346–3369 zone marks a strong resistance band, making it an ideal zone for medium-term selling opportunities.
📉 On the downside, we identify the first major support at 3278, followed by the 3261–3246 zone.
📰 On the news front, several Fed officials expressed economic concerns in speeches early this morning. Meanwhile, reports of Israel preparing to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities fueled safe-haven demand, pushing gold strongly back above the 3300 mark.
📌 Today's Trading Strategy:
Sell between 3346–3373 (consider scaling in)
Buy between 3260–3243
Flexible trading in the zones: 3338 - 3326 - 3318 -3309 -3298 - 3288 - 3272
Lastly, a heartfelt thought:
Living in a peaceful country like China, it's truly heartbreaking to see so many innocent children suffering or even losing their lives due to war. Let us hope for peace soon—so all people may live safely, freely, and happily.
DOW - H&S is getting progressed. 📉 DOW JONES – Head & Shoulders Pattern Formation (Right Shoulder in Progress)
The chart illustrates a clear Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a classic bearish reversal signal, forming on the higher timeframe.
🧠 Pattern Breakdown:
Left Shoulder: Formed in early March.
Head: Sharp dip and recovery formed during early April.
Right Shoulder: Currently in the making, aligning with a weekly resistance near 42,880 levels.
Price is expected to reject this resistance and complete the right shoulder.
📌 Technical View:
Strong rejection expected near the weekly horizontal resistance.
If the right shoulder completes and breaks below the neckline (around 41,500–41,600), it may trigger a measured fall.
Fibonacci levels also align, with the 0.382 and 0.5 retracement acting as potential reaction zones.
🎯 Target:
Target: 40,900 levels (Right Shoulder support zone).
This is a confluence zone where buyers may reappear.
Also forms a neckline test, critical for breakout confirmation or reversal.
🔔 Trade Setup Insight:
Short bias activated near 42,880 resistance zone.
Watch for confirmation via bearish engulfing candles or lower time frame breakdowns.
Targeting 40,900 initially. Further downside possible if neckline breaks decisively.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. All trading involves risk. Please perform your own due diligence or consult a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
The USD/JPY pair is at a critical junctureThe USD/JPY pair is at a critical juncture within a broadening formation. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely. A break below support may signal further downside, while a move above resistance could indicate a bullish reversal. Given the current indicators and economic data, a cautious approach with well-defined risk management is advisable.
Dell going strong after big dipDell going strong after big dip, after creating head and shoulder, Dell going to close the chart pattern with target 127$, to the target we have the strong Weekly resistance 115$ to break, then the strong high 121$, a short term trend line , and the all time high trend line, with good momentum we can test after this the last high before the dip 146$, Dell raised 75% in lest than 2 month and expect to reach 120$ from last dip in another 2 months,
Inverse Head & Shoulder Breakout - MAHSCOOTERTechnical Analysis:
Current Price: ₹13,755
Target: ₹18,000 (significant potential upside)
Bullish Patterns: Inverse Head and Shoulder breakout confirmation or Cup & Handle pattern formation/breakout (chart needed to confirm which is more dominant and the status of the breakout).
Time Frame: 1 to 3 months.
Updated Fundamental Considerations:
High P/E (91.6): Suggests premium valuation, implying high growth expectations.
Positive EPS Growth (YoY): EPS ₹188 vs. ₹174 indicates positive earnings growth over the past year.
Strong Latest Quarter EPS (₹45.2): Significantly higher than the previous quarter, signaling a potential positive shift in profitability.
Industry P/E (21.6): Highlights the substantial premium the market is placing on MAHSCOOTER compared to its peers.
Inside The Eye Of The Storm - $90 Target On TSMCIf you've seen my posts on Minds (particularly the board for NASDAQ:SOX ), it’s no secret that I’ve been bearish on semiconductors for some time. My bearish thesis is based on several factors: technical indicators, overvaluation of certain companies, and skepticism that AI-driven demand will result in broad-based prosperity. As the charts grow increasingly overbought, unfolding geopolitical developments could soon deliver a shock to the semiconductor sector, reinforcing the technical signals I’m observing.
At the time of writing, the market is turning bearish. Futures are down over 1%, and the TVC:US10Y is up nearly 2%. Institutional investors remain cautious about the U.S. economy due to its high debt levels and efforts to raise the debt ceiling to accommodate an additional $2 trillion in debt-financed tax cuts. Meanwhile, on the trade war front, the U.S. and China have agreed to deescalate tensions, a surprisingly smooth shift after weeks of posturing and brinkmanship. Although SP:SPX surged over 2% on the news, something feels off—worthy of speculation.
Recent articles in Foreign Affairs (www.foreignaffairs.com) and The Economist (www.economist.com) suggest that President Xi may now see his best opportunity to fulfill his longstanding goal of reunifying China.
I encourage reading those articles if you're interested, but here’s my take—and how it relates to a low-risk/high-reward short trade in semiconductors. By striking a tariff-reduction deal with the Trump administration, China has removed a key obstacle that could have otherwise hindered military action against Taiwan. While Trump has flip-flopped on Taiwan over the years, he has previously threatened sanctions and tariffs as deterrents. But with the economy already strained, reimposing tariffs of 145% or higher would be self-defeating.
This opens the door for China to escalate. Over the past month, we’ve seen “gray zone” tactics: military drills, suspicious Chinese fishing vessels dragging anchors near undersea cables, and reports that China may use its coast guard to “quarantine” vessels heading to or from Taiwan—potentially inflicting serious economic pain. Such moves would place the U.S. in a precarious position.
To compound the risk, Taiwan imports 90% of its energy—mostly LNG—and just shut down its last nuclear reactor on Friday (5/16), which supplied around 4.5% of the nation’s power. In 2023, NYSE:TSM alone used more than 8% of Taiwan’s electricity, according to Business Insider. Any disruption to power or communications would halt production.
This leads me to believe that China may attempt to annex Taiwan before 2027. (After all, why announce an invasion years in advance?) According to WIRED, NYSE:TSM produces at least 90% of the world’s most advanced chips, and Taiwanese companies control 68% of total global chip production. These fundamentals make Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company arguably the most vulnerable firm to any disruption in Taiwanese exports.
I’ve covered the market’s broader setup in other posts, so I’ll keep the technical analysis here brief. On the weekly chart (right), NYSE:TSM ’s price rose from October 2022 to January 2025 in five distinct waves. That uptrend has now been broken, and the price appears to be in the right shoulder of a large Head & Shoulders pattern. While the downside potential is open-ended, we can estimate a target using technicals. I expect the price to slice through the entirety of Wave (3) and find support in the blue-box, which aligns with the volume profile and 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracements. A break below the weekly 200MA would be a very bearish sign. For now, I’ve set my target for NYSE:TSM at $90.
Zooming in, the daily chart (right) shows numerous gaps and doji candles. The high-volume days were dominated by selling. On the 100R chart (left), including after-hours trading, the Fisher Transform oscillator shows bearish divergence. Although Friday closed flat (0.00%), the stock dropped nearly 2% after hours. I expect a move back to VWAP, especially if the broader market trends lower this week.
To gauge how TSMC stacks up against the broader industry, let’s look at some peers. On the semiconductor index NASDAQ:SOX , there are two key gaps worth watching—similar to what we see in other indexes. The price is currently at the 0.618 retracement of Wave (A) and briefly peaked above the 200MA. I expect it to move lower from here, likely filling those gaps and setting new lows.
For NASDAQ:NVDA , I’m seeing a Head & Shoulders pattern forming, with the price currently in Wave (B). Several downside price gaps exist, and more notably, there’s a volume gap between $95 and $102.
On the 500R chart (left), Nvidia is clearly overbought and facing resistance at the upper VWAP band. A move to the 1.618 extension would be extreme—but there’s an order block around that level, along with a gap down near $31, visible on the daily chart (right). Such a steep drop would require a major catalyst. While it’s unclear how reliant NASDAQ:NVDA is on Taiwan, it’s reasonable to assume the leading AI chipmaker depends on a supply chain anchored by the company producing 90% of the world’s advanced chips.
NASDAQ:AMD , another company heavily reliant on TSMC’s fabs, shows a very bearish setup on the weekly chart (right) when using a logarithmic scale. However, price action from the past year on the 500R chart (left) suggests it could move higher if basic Elliott Wave principles hold. AMD’s beta is 2.14 versus TSM’s 1.68, indicating lower correlation with the broader market. It may therefore be less compatible with wave theory, but it's still an essential ticker to monitor, especially as it diverges from NASDAQ:SOX and peers.
To conclude, considering the current overbought level of NYSE:TSM , coupled with the broader market pivoting back to a bearish trend, and its unique position at the center of a geopolitical and trade crisis, I think shorting TSMC provides a low risk/high reward setup with a target of $90. All of this to say, I am not a coldhearted opportunist, and I hope Taiwan can remain a free, democratic, country that is able to withstand China’s grey-zone tactics. Unfortunately, we should be prepared for Xi to use this opportunity to find out just how committed to Taiwan the Trump administration is, and as we saw during the COVID shutdown and subsequent supply shortages, microprocessors are some of the most essential products in the world that just so happen to be produced in the most vulnerable country in Asia. I suspect that there is trouble afoot.
Thank you for reading and let me know what you think.
TATA Tech Breakout: Inverted Head & Shoulder Targets ₹856+A bullish reversal pattern forming in Tata Technologies Ltd (TATATECH) on the daily timeframe.
Pattern Identified:
📌 Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern
Left Shoulder: Price dips and recovers
Head: A deeper dip followed by recovery
Right Shoulder: A higher low and bounce
Neckline: Resistance around ₹755 is tested multiple times
Key Technical Insights:
Breakout Above Neckline: Today's close above ₹755 confirms breakout
Target Projection:
Target = Neckline + Height (from Head to Neckline)
Projected Target = ₹856+
Volume Confirmation (optional): Typically, volume should rise during breakout for stronger confirmation
Sentiment:
Reversal from downtrend to possible uptrend
Bullish momentum expected to continue toward the ₹856+ zone
GOLD LONG VIEW
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
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NOTCOIN : IT'S TIME TO BUY GUYSHello dears
If you are risk-averse, this analysis is for you...
According to the bullish pattern that has formed, you can see that we had a decline and now it is time to take a logical risk, that is, we buy at the specified levels with capital management to move towards the specified goals...
*Trade safely with us*