Alibaba fell by 13.14% yesterday due to the opening of a court case between the tech companies and the chinese government. Though Alibaba does have a very acceptable cash-flow and rapidly increasing turnover, meaning that the firm itself is getting bigger. This indicates that the last month decrease in the stock has nothing to do with the company. It should therefore return to its former price level within a couple of month. Wether it is through scenario 1 or 2 of those i have drawn - we can't know for curtain.