stanosky

Descending triangle on the daily chart

Kort
stanosky Uppdaterad   
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
The structure that bitcoin has formed on the daily chart can be considered in various ways. Some see a descending wedge there, others a bullish flag. To me, it looks like a descending triangle.

If we check what its projected target is (yellow arrows), we can see that it coincides with the red line drawn by the fixed range indicator. This gives a rather strong signal confirming my bearish hypothesis. Moreover, the RSI indicator shows a huge bearish divergence over several months, which further emphasizes the downward trend.

However, I think that before bitcoin hovers around 20k again we will first see a triangle retest with a possible upward breakout as often happens with descending triangles. Nevertheless, I believe that the breakout will stop at around 28k. From this point we should already be witnessing a massive decline to the previously mentioned target.

If my forecast comes true, bitcoin should eventually print a beautiful head-and-shoulders pattern on the chart, which will eventually turn into a panic sell-off and new lows.

This is not financial advice.
Kommentera:
It looks like we are in the phase of an upward breakout, exactly as I predicted. In addition, this upward movement will result in a re-test of the huge rising wedge seen on the weekly chart. If I am right, the price should be rejected around the $28500 level.
Kommentera:
Actually, I think the target is around $29200, as I noticed an inverted head and shoulder on the 4-hour chart:
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