$BTC - Runs to $49,000 Stalls out, then the "long bear" starts

Again, Mirroring 2017/2018 we should be bullish next 4-6 weeks leading right into 4th of July weekend stalling our around $49,000, ok maybe $50,500 for a 12hr candle and then descent begins, the "long bear" we all fear. Too many headwinds with Rates set to rise later this year. RSI reset at the same place in 2018 but we lost ~62% from ATH at that point and this time around only 50% so i guess that's a little more bullish?