Bearish Trend Breaks Support, Await Signs of Reversal

Over the past month, the price of DOT (Polkadot's currency) has faced considerable downward pressure, moving between the support level of $5.15 and the resistance level of $5.60. However, the price recently broke below the lower boundary of Polkadot's currency range channel, indicating a bearish trend. This selling pressure was so strong that it briefly dipped below the price floor of $4.23, which had been established at the end of 2022.

Interestingly, the price of Polkadot found significant monthly support within the range of $4.24 to $3.98 and responded positively to this support level. This suggests that there is a potential for a trend reversal and upward movement in price if we observe encouraging signs of a positive reaction and a change in the trend on the daily and four-hour time frames within this support range. These signs could indicate a reduction in selling pressure and a renewed demand for DOT.

However, at present, we do not see these favorable indications on the mentioned time frames. It may be necessary to wait for signs of a trend change in the short-term, particularly for lower time frame trades. For example, on the 15-minute time frame, if the resistance level between $4.53 and $4.57 is broken, it could serve as a signal for a short-term trend reversal. It is important to closely monitor how the market responds to this monthly support level, as a strong positive reaction could result in the price of Polkadot fluctuating within the range of $4 to $5 for a certain period of time.

Considering the current market conditions, it is crucial to remain cautious and wait for confirmation of a positive trend change before making any significant trading decisions. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) value of 34 on the 4-hour timeframe suggests that the market is in a slightly oversold condition, but further analysis and confirmation are necessary to determine the direction of the price movement.