EUR/USD choose the break - I say down to 1.000

I'm really not good at analysis when markets are in a range and predicting the breaks unless the breakout patterns are strong and impending.

IN this case, it could be a Rising Wedge, which requires a breakout to the downside.

Or it could be a rising Wedge, where the breakout can turn up and go above the apex.

I'll route for a breakdown, purely based on the 21>7MA - down momentum and RSI<50.

Then potential target will be back to 1.0000.

Which way do you think it's going?