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TSLA Weekly Harmonic Elliott Wave and Hurst's Cyclic Analysis

NASDAQ:TSLA   Tesla
Review:

Let's review the key points of the previous update (Nov. 21st):

  • Wave 2 has already ended.
  • We are in wave (II) of a of 3.
  • October 31st was a 40W cycle trough and we are in the second 40W cycle of the current 80W cycle.
  • 40D trough on December 4th 2023.
  • 80D FLD will be crossed tomorrow and can generate a target of 285.
  • 80D trough on January 6th 2024.
  • 20W trough in the first 2 weeks of March.
  • 40W trough in June-July 2024.

Update:

We are on track with our expectations.

Analysis of the Structure:

We are still in the development of wave (II) as a flat correction. On Monday early morning, I expect a minor move higher to complete wave 4 of c of (II), then the final bearish move to the downside to complete wave (II) on Tuesday. The next phase is a very strong bullish move as wave (III) of a of 3.

Analysis of the Cycles:

We are expecting the 40D cycle trough and I think it will happen on December 4th or 5th (more likely). No change is needed to my previous cycle statements, except adding a few points:

  1. We got the actual 80D cycle FLD cross to the upside, which generated a target of 282 (underlying trend is up, so we expect an overshot).
  2. 20W cycle FLD was crossed to the upside, generating a target of 296.
  3. 40W cycle FLD to be crossed soon (next week).

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