The augmented Dickey-Fuller test (ADF) is a statistical test for the tendency of a price series sample to mean revert .
The current price of a mean-reverting series may tell us something about the next move (as opposed, for example, to a geometric Brownian motion). Thus, the ADF test allows us to spot market inefficiencies and potentially exploit this...
Introduction: This strategy is a modification of the “3-day Mean Reversion Strategy” from the book "High Probability ETF Trading" by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez. In the book, the authors discuss a high-probability ETF mean reversion strategy for a 1-day time-frame with these simple rules:
The price must be above the 200 day SMA and below the 5 day SMA.
This oscillator is used for *mean reversion* strategies only.
This oscillator calculates the real-time distance of a price-point subtracted from the SMA, then compares it to the average distance to determine equilibrium imbalances. When the imbalance becomes less and goes under the signal line, a reversal is very likely.
Do not trade mean reversion during any...
Here’s a screener including Symbol, Price, TSI, and 50 ema cross in a table output.
The 50 Exponential Moving Average is a trend indicator
You can find bullish momentum when the 50 ema crossed over or a bearish momentum when the 50 ema crossed under we are looking to take advantage by trading the reversion of these trends.
True strength index (TSI) is a...
This is a more advanced version of my original mean reversion script.
It employs the famous Bollinger Bands.
This robot will buy when price falls below the lower Bollinger Band, and sell when price moves above the upper Bollinger Band.
I've only tested it on the S&P 500, though you could try it out on other assets to see the backtest performance.
My first try to implement Full Hurst Exponent.
The Hurst exponent is used as a measure of long-term memory of time series. It relates to the autocorrelations of the time series and the rate at which these decrease as the lag between pairs of values increases
The Hurst exponent is referred to as the "index of dependence" or "index of long-range dependence". It...
The Bollinger Imbalance Oscillator is used for *mean reversion* purposes only.
It uses Double Bollinger deviation levels to determine each level of perceived imbalance.
When price start to revert to its mean after an imbalance, small char-type arrows appear to assist with direction.
This oscillator also includes a squeeze feature on the center-line, based on...
This is a mean reversion indicator that anticipates a local trend reversion. Basically, it is a channel with the mid-line serving as a moving mean baseline. Each of the two curves run up and down within this channel bouncing off from the top and bottom bounds. Touching the bounds serves as an indication of a local trend reversal. The reversal signal is stronger...
Logarithmic regression (or known as Tseng's tunnels), is used to model data where growth or decay accelerates rapidly at first and then slows over time.
This model is for the long term series data (such as 10 years time span).
The user can consider entering the market when the price below 25% or 5% confidence and consider take profit when the price goes above 75%...
This indicator plots the 1, 2 and 3 standard deviations from the mean as bands of color (hot and cold). Useful in identifying likely points of mean reversion.
Default mean is WMA 200 but can be SMA, EMA, VWMA, and VAWMA.
Calculating the standard deviation is done by first cleaning the data of outliers (configurable).
Ok, Here we go - Version 1 of TTM Reversion Band goes live.
Link to TTM Reversion Band - www.tradethemarkets.com
Link to TTM Reversion Band Guide - kb.simplertrading.com
John Carters Mastering the trade - www.amazon.com
For the amount of information this has, the price tag is not hefty.
John's RTM Chapter Synopsis - www.tradethemarkets.com
What did I...
Volatility is cyclical, after a large move up or down the market typically "ranges" during the next session. Directional order flow that enters the market during this subsequent session tends not to persist, this non-persistency of transactions leads to a non-trend day which is when I trade intraday reversionary strategies.
This script finds trend days in BTC...
This is a simplified version of the Hurst Exponent indicator.
In the meantime, I'm working on the full version. It's computationally intensive, so it's a challenge to squeeze it to PineScript limits. It will require some time to optimize it, so I decided to publish a simplified version for now.
The Hurst exponent is used as a measure of long-term memory of time...
A significant intraday reversion (commonly used: 3 points) on a high (over 20 points) S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) can be a sign of a market bottom, because there is the assumption that some of the "big guys" liquidated their options / insurances because the worst is over.
This indicator shows these reversions (3 points as default) when the VIX was...
Mean reversion strategy, based upon the price deviation (%) from a chosen moving average (bars). Do note that the "gains" are always relative to your starting capital, so if you set a smaller starting capital (e.g. $10000) your gains will look bigger. Also when the strategy tester has finished calculating, check the "Open P/L", as there could still be open trades....