Notes are in the chart.
Any feedback/input is appreciated :)
Kommentera:
Current Macro Economic Environment Key Points to be considered :
1. Current environment is inflationary with slow growth - STAGFLATION.
Usually Stagflation leads to Deflationary environments in the future.
2. High beta asset classes (Eg: BTC) are likely to be affected , and the trend is down from TA and Macro-Economic POV.
3. Aggressive quantitative tightening (QE) policy to kick in end of June.
4. Incremental Supply Chain disruptions from China with Zero Covid Policy.
5. Geo-Political Issues with regards to Russia/Ukraine and Oil disruption issues continue.
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1. Current environment is inflationary with slow growth - STAGFLATION.
Usually Stagflation leads to Deflationary environments in the future.
2. High beta asset classes (Eg: BTC) are likely to be affected , and the trend is down from TA and Macro-Economic POV.
3. Aggressive quantitative tightening (QE) policy to kick in end of June.
4. Incremental Supply Chain disruptions from China with Zero Covid Policy.
5. Geo-Political Issues with regards to Russia/Ukraine and Oil disruption issues continue.
CONCLUSION : STICKY INFLATION + SLOW ECONOMIC GROWTH + FED QT = RISK OFF